OK 1986Mekanic I have 2 points for you to consider. #1 Look, I know there are going to be a lot of "boomers" retiring. I get it. However they stated the same thing about truck drivers and look what happened, a bunch of people entered the field then all of the sudden wages are depressed. They treat semi truck drivers like crap and do you know why? Because they are easily replaceable. Why? Because there are too damn many of them. Why? Because everyone read these articles that there was going to be a shortage so, thinking they could make bank, many rushed into the industry. There is nothing in that scenario that suggest to me there was ever a shortage, only the facade of one to keep wages down in a country very dependent on truck drivers. Basically having low paid truck drivers benefits everyone in this country..... except the truck drivers of course. By the way I make those claims based on what the truck drivers themselves are saying, not just my perspective. Can you entertain the idea that this "shortage" is manufactured to increase supply to control airline costs for the benefit of the flying public to the detriment of the airline mechanic? #2 If indeed there is a looming shortage, this is where being locked in a UNION contract screws you. More to the point it's probably where it screws them because if what you say is true I am sure they (airlines in general) will offer an early out package to sell future mechanics out. How do any of those 2 things (contracts and early out deals) entice future AMT's? I can tell you the city of Tulsa funds education in the transportation sector. If there was ever a looming shortage in this city (which I doubt) the city of Tulsa would offer tax funded education opportunities at Tulsa Tech for students to get their A&P's and funnel them into TULE (Tulsa's biggest employer).