It is a very real possibility that in the near future we will see many line stations being closed. The memo will start with something like "due to unforeseen economic circumstances."
Kevin,
let me share a few data points that may show you that DL does things differently than the rest of the industry.
Based on the schedule that was loaded this weekend, DL will overtake CO and UA as the world's largest airline by next summer. What DL does after the summer remains to be seen but the fact is that DL is growing its combined operation by 3.5% next summer.
In contrast - and this is important - UA next summer will be smaller than UA this past summer by several percentage points. CO will grow some (after all, it is a lower cost producer so it makes sense to shift flying to CO) but the combined CO/UA of next summer WILL BE SMALLER than CO and UA were combined this summer.
Looking at details, DTW has seen significant growth from DL.... the DL Asia operation at DTW is now larger than AA and UA at ORD COMBINED.
Specific to the 744s, a unique NW fleet that is unchanged since the merger, DL is using it to generate about 10% more ASMs than those planes were generating in the last year NW operated them. Conversely, the 330s will generate more capacity from ATL than any other US gateway, also confirming DL's statement that it would shift 330 flying to ATL. Yet, the 764 (which by next summer will have full lie flat seats) will be used more at JFK than in ATL.
Picking, say, a random midwest city that is "somewhere in between" the DL presence there is larger than the DL and NW were prior to the merger... and that city, along w/ most of the midwest, was dominated by NW.
Of course the significance is that each of those line stations are now part of a much stronger global network.... DL has built its network around hundreds of medium and small cities that feed its hubs in addition to having a presence in the major cities of the US. In contrast, other major network airlines are much smaller than DL in many medium and small cities, leaving DL as the largest airline in dozens of small and medium sized cities, even ones where DL or NW alone was not the largest carrier.
When you look at statistics like this and also realize that DL generated one of the highest profit margins among the network carriers, DL has delivered on its promise that it would combine DL and NW to create a larger COMBINED airline.
In many cases, DL has used the NW assets (planes and hubs) to generate more flying than could have been possible by NW alone. It is noteworthy that based on current schedules, DL's ATL international operation will be slightly smaller in 2011 than it was in 2010 as DL is shifting int'l capacity to other hubs. Looking at the statistics from CO and UA already, that does not appear to be the case.
The key, as I have pointed out, is that DL is using the assets from the combined airline to generate the best financial results for the system as a whole. And DL is growing the combined airline to key its costs down and to continue to generate new revenue streams, in the very same way that CO did after its BKs in the 1990s and using the same strategy that WN has used for 3 decades.
In contrast, the combined UA/CO is smaller than the sum of the parts and United-Continental Holdings is already playing each side against each other. Since DL and NW had almost identical labor costs going into the merger, there was no benefit from playing one "side" against the other.
DL has to deliver for the long term but based on everything that can be seen now, DL has created a new airline that is stronger than the sum of its parts and that benefits everyone at DL, even if that is not the norm for how things are done elsewhere in the industry or the way they were done at DL or NW individually prior to the merger.