eolesen said:
Yeah, I think you're probably not getting why all those smaller airlines had to invest in other airlines...
No I get it completely.
eolesen said:
Comair (SA) has been a BA franchise carrier for ~20 years, and the investment has been there probably just as long. You also have to realize that the SA government owns SAA, and won't allow BA to manage Comair for fear that they'll inflict mortal damage onto SAA.
Okay, but IAG keeps that investment for what? (somewhat) Control and to keep the partner locked up and a handle on the product. Again, have you EVER listened to Delta management when they talk about why they are making these investments?
eolesen said:
SQ and NZ have a long history of investing in other airlines, but that's because they both come from relatively small nation-states with very little O&D traffic of their own. Their 20% & 23% stakes in VA basically gives them little to no actual benefit aside from preserving the bi-lateral codewhoring relationships they have. Both NZ and SQ are also majority owned by their respective governments, so you shouldn't expect them to behave entirely rationally...
compared to most airlines (period much less government airlines) those are two of the best ran airlines in the world.
but again, they keep a stake in other airlines to help expand the network. Again, listen to Delta management.....
eolesen said:
KE's 44% ownership in OK was for one reason only: losing their interline agreement with LH. When LH canceled the agreement, KE lost access to a huge chunk of its Europe feed, and had to scramble to try and re-establish that. For about €3M, they got a huge stake in OK and recreated at PRG what they were able to get as feed at FRA. For €3M, I can't fault them for trying.
cheap when you compare it to what it would cost to do it alone.....
boy that sounds like an Atlanta based airline buying into a LHR based airline for a steal when you see how much it would cost to buy all those LHR slots on the open market.
eolesen said:
Oh, and your timing on the LH/B6 deal is off by about five years. UA and CO merged in 2011, while LH held onto the B6 investment until 2015. That's not a knee jerk reaction to the merger by any means.
If you have worked in this industry for as long as you have said you know nothing happens overnight.
More importantly I believe LH and/or B6 said that is makes little sense to keep the relationship going since UA/CO had merged.
but it has taken them a long time to be somewhat merged so obviously LH didn't move over night.
eolesen said:
The only reasonable parallel you can make to IAG & LHG is that DL is trying to project global power thru investing in weaker partners.
no what I am doing is taking your original quote and proving it wrong. Now that I have done that you are jumping around trying to still prove a point that most people who put money on the game say is with 15 billion more than Delta peers.
eolesen said:
AA and BA have no cross investments, neither do UA & LH.
The only airlines actively investing in other airlines that they don't plan to merge with are are Etihad, Delta, and Hainan.
If it were such a great model to follow, I'd think there would be others doing it.
this was the quote I replied to. It is wrong and I have proved so. Jump and dance around it all you want though.
eolesen said:
My opinion is they'd be better off culling out about half the Skyteam airlines, many who can't come even close to providing the same levels of service that DL & AF/KL do.
And again, listen to Delta management just once and you will see that is EXACTLY the point.
For example, Delta invested into MU with the plan of helping them improve the on board product, PVG connection and just general airline practices. Delta also bought into MU to help Delta better learn about what/why/when/where the people of the area do what they do.
And this is the same model they are using for every other investment.
Delta is expecting to be a 50/50 domestic/International carrier over the next few years. The best way to do what is to have hubs in the key markets to the US. IIRC of the top ten counties DL has a hub, JV hub or a ownership hub in 6 or 7 of them. That gives them more control over those markets and hubs than other airlines.