The TWU would win any election. Period. But the TWU will not challenge the IAM. Actually, any union would win against the Association. And the IAM would be defeated on almost any property it is at nowadays. If the TWU challenged the IAM, I'm almost certain it could get 1,000 cards from PHL, 1,000 cards from PHX, and I know hundreds more from other stations.
A group of key people contacted me about being a part of a new independent union established in the fleet group on the American Airlines Property. I told them ( I believe a group of MX American Employees) I had other stuff going on with IAM officer elections, at this time.
At any rate, whether members like me continue to try to change this awful undemocratic, polluted, anti worker, union....from within, or whether other members try to just fire this awful Labor Organization by replacing it with a more suitable Labor Organization, remains to be seen. Stay Tuned!