Awa Vs Swa In Short Haul Since 9/11

[coolflyingfool]

Spring cleaning got me to thinking, OUCH! Found an OAG from August 2001 and compared in to the OAG from February 2004 to see the difference in markets where AWA competed against SWA in PHX only. I didn't do LAS since that is a primary night operation for AWA there. If my wife finds out I am not cleaning, I'm in trouble. SHHHHHHHH! Here is what I found.

I will put AWA first and then SWA second. The first numbers will be Aug 01 and the second will be Feb 04. example-ABQ-AWA Aug 01 vs SWA Aug01 // AWA Feb04 vs SWA Feb04. All numbers will be mainline with additional RJ service noted.

ABQ- 6 vs 14 // 5 vs 13 = AUS- 5 vs 4 // 3+1rj vs 4 = BWI- 4 vs 3 // 3 vs 5
BUR- 5 vs 7 // 2+3rj vs 7 = MDW/ORD- 5 vs 3 // 5 vs 4 = CMH- 4 vs 1 // 2 vs 1
DTW- 4 vs none // 4 vs 2 = ELP- 4+3rj vs 8 // 2+3rj vs 8 = HOU/IAH- 5 vs 5 // 5 vs 5
IND- 2 vs 1 // 2 vs 1 = MCI- 5 vs 5 // 4 vs 4 = LAS- 17 vs 20 // 11 vs 19
LAX- 14 vs 17 // 10 vs 14 = MSY- 2 vs 2 // 1 vs 2 = OAK- 6 vs 7 // 6 vs 6
OMA- 4 vs 2 // 2+1rj vs 2 = ONT- 6 vs 15 // 6 vs 13 = SNA 9 vs 3 // 7+2rj vs 6
MCO- 2 vs 1 // 2 vs 1 = PDX- 6 vs 2 // 5 vs 2 = RDU- none // 2 vs 2
RNO- 5 vs 3 // 5 vs 3 = SMF- 6 vs 5 // 6 vs 6 = STL- 3 vs 7 // 3 vs 6
SLC- 5 vs 7 // 3+5rj vs 7 = SAT- 3 vs 3 // 1+3rj vs 3 = SAN- 11 vs 14 // 8+1rj vs 14
SEA- 6 vs 2 // 5+1rj vs 2 = SJC- 6 vs 5 // 5 vs 5 = TPA- 1 vs 1 // 2 vs 1

NOTES - Both airlines added RDU with 2 flights - RJ service in AUG01 was only in ELP with 3 flights and in Feb04 there are 20 RJ flights in 9 markets - AWA decreased mainline flying in 18 markets by a total of 37 flights and only increased 1 market(TPA) by 1 - SWA decreased in 8 markets by a total of 10 flights and added 9 flights in 5 markets including DTW which was not served n/s in AUG01. Biggest changes were in the LAS market where AWA went down 6 and SWA was down 1. SNA saw the biggest addition by SWA with 3 more added while AWA took down 2 mainline flights for 2 RJs.

Just my observations and notes, now I better get to cleaning before my wife finds out that I am procrastinating.

Just realized that the title should have been AWA vs SWA in the PHX market since 9/11. OOPS - my bad. Sorry.

 

[coolflyingfool]

I hate to respond to my own post, but i found info from a chart showing the domestic airline percentage breakdown, and there was some interesting movement.
In 1990 the breakdown was:

1) AA - 14.4% 2) DL - 13.6%
3) US - 13.0% 4) UA - 11.4%
5) NW - 7.5% 6) CO - 6.8%
7) WN - 4.9% 8) TW - 4.4%
9) HP - 3.4% 10) AS - 1.1%
11) TZ - 0.1%

In 1995 the breakdown was:

1) DL - 15.1% 2) UA - 12.8%
3) AA - 12.0% 4) US - 10.5%
5) WN - 9.5% 6) NW - 7.8%
7) CO - 6.1% 8) TW - 3.8%
9) HP - 3.2% 10) AS - 1.8%
11) AI - 1.0% 12) TZ - 0.4%

For 2003 through the month of October the breakdown was:

1) DL - 13.5% 2) WN - 12.8%
3) AA - 12.4% 4) UA - 9.6%
5) NW - 7.4% 6) US - 6.4%
7) CO - 5.3% 8) HP - 3.3%
9) AS - 2.2% 10) AI - 2.0%
11) TZ - 1.6% 12) B6 - 1.5%

That means that AWA has not increased their domestic market from 1990 to now. American is down 2.0%, Delta down 0.3%, USAirways is down 6.6%, United down 1.8%, Northwest down 0.1%, Continental down 1.5%, Southwest is up 7.9%, TWA is gone, Alaska is up 1.1%, ATA is up 1.5%, and Airtran and Jetblue, who didn't exist in 1990, now control 3.5% of the domestic market between them, more than AWA.

I know that AWA has teetered on the edge, but there needs to be AWA growth! Not RJ growth. As Jetblue, Airtran, ATA, and Alaska continue to grow, it is conceivable that AWA will be the smallest of the Majors in the domestic US market.

Just my thoughts.......

 

[motnot]

Interesting numbers, but I'm not sure you can draw any meaningful conclusions from them. Sure, HP is at the same place as it was in 1990, but most of the carriers are lower. Definitely there have been many missteps at HP since then, but the current management sure seems focused on running the airline right for the long term. ASMs are up, at a record, and the airline plans 10 percent annual growth for the future.