I posted this on another bulletin board and wonder what you folks think about it.
"As it was becoming clear that the IAM concessions to US Airways were more and more a sure thing, the following news came out about Virgin:
http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?t...storyID=7350666
The only way I can see for Branson to get Virgin going is to buy 25% of US for about $250 million new capital, reducing RSA's exposure to about 30%, worth about $300 million, a small profit for all their troubles. Lakefield et al. get replaced by the ex-Delta guy et al. Branson has on retainer. (Lots of resignations among the VP's lately, if you have noticed.) Current stockholders would survive (at about $1 a present share - about where it is now) and hope for better days ahead.
The new post-Chap11 US may have costs better than Virgin US could achieve as a startup. It would definitely be a fresh face for everybody - and get rid of all the lingering Allegheny/Piedmont/PSA employee friction - while paying a slight homage to the American predecessor US in its existing name. Branson's pending Airbus buys fit right in. It would provide Virgin US with instant access to New York and Washington of a size that would take years ? decades? to achieve otherwise. It would give US a better post-Chap11 start than any other arrangement other than finding oil on the property or some financial equivalent.
FWIW, I can imagine an AWA version of this story, but the US one works better and would have to be a preferred choice."
"As it was becoming clear that the IAM concessions to US Airways were more and more a sure thing, the following news came out about Virgin:
http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?t...storyID=7350666
The only way I can see for Branson to get Virgin going is to buy 25% of US for about $250 million new capital, reducing RSA's exposure to about 30%, worth about $300 million, a small profit for all their troubles. Lakefield et al. get replaced by the ex-Delta guy et al. Branson has on retainer. (Lots of resignations among the VP's lately, if you have noticed.) Current stockholders would survive (at about $1 a present share - about where it is now) and hope for better days ahead.
The new post-Chap11 US may have costs better than Virgin US could achieve as a startup. It would definitely be a fresh face for everybody - and get rid of all the lingering Allegheny/Piedmont/PSA employee friction - while paying a slight homage to the American predecessor US in its existing name. Branson's pending Airbus buys fit right in. It would provide Virgin US with instant access to New York and Washington of a size that would take years ? decades? to achieve otherwise. It would give US a better post-Chap11 start than any other arrangement other than finding oil on the property or some financial equivalent.
FWIW, I can imagine an AWA version of this story, but the US one works better and would have to be a preferred choice."