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On 12/31/2002 4:44:19 PM Heinrich wrote:
TO CONTINUE with speculation.
Speculate for a second that USAir survives but United does not. IN say, 8/03, United liquidates. What do you think the chances are that USAirways could go in and say, buy out the slots out of Denver and use Denver as a hub out to the west coast. Or Chicago. And buy slots to the Orient. And Japan. Where would the money come from? I doubt the US Government would let American or Delta expand further.
What do you think?
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First of all, there are no (landing) "slots" to buy at ORD or DEN (except for some international rights as you indicated), rather it would be another airline assuming UAL's leases and operations at these airports. In any case, even these international slots would be worthless without the presence/development of a stong feeder network at both ORD and DEN.
Second, at DEN, I believe Continental would be very interested in a re-assuming their former hub in Denver, and would be much more financially able to do so as compared to U.
Third, don't forget about Frontier which is already at DEN. They're getting new Airbus's all the time, and accelereated delivery schedules won't be hard to come by from Airbus these days.
Finally, remember that Southwest used to serve Denver but pulled out due to the higher lease and landing costs after Stapleton shut down. Perhaps Denver would be interested in attracting SW if UAL were to disappear.