Here's the simple truth. If you have a vast international network, ala CO, and we are to believe what these Internet "experts" tell us, then their profit should have been far more than $43 million more than US's. Likewise UA's profit of $25 million, at more than double our size and with a vast global network, superior service, and catering to high-yield passengers should have proferred a net profit of at least double our measly $500 million. But it didn't.
CO, unlike US, has not dumped all of it's pensions and has not been (in this cycle) thru bankruptcies.
So, here is the simple truth: people who owned CAL in 1999 still have something. People who owned US (twice) got nothing.
The current success of US is due entirely to slaughtering the costs artificially in BK on the high RASM east side. CO has not had the luxury. UA is a different case--seems like they are about a year away from truly optimizing their network--you are seeing that now, but it takes time with a large international network. I believe, as a percentage, they shrunk less than US/HP.
However, this year proves that passengers are willing to pay for 1 thing, and it's not what CO, DL and UA are offering.
Well, no, it does not mean that. It means that the East BK council and Judge Mitchell did a good job on everyone but management.
We all know
why Doogie wanted DL: It's to repeat the "shrink in BK" routine. If they have to manage the airline it's going to get ugly in a few years. You have the airlines with better networks and product squeezing on one end, the real LCCs on the other, and, well, DAL (who has a better network and will emerge with lower costs).
It's really tiring to hear this "gee, we made 500 million" stuff. Given two bankruptcies, a rising aviation market, and reduced capacity--a 6th grade economic student could make money. Give it a full business cycle--the US model is going to have found a niche--it will simply be one that nobody wants to buy.