U.S. Stocks Fall as Crude Oil Advances; Dow Drops From Record
By Nick Baker
April 23 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks fell after crude oil rose and concern mounted that home loan defaults will accelerate, overshadowing the biggest day for takeovers since 2000.
Wal-Mart Stores Inc., the world's largest retailer, led the Dow Jones Industrial Average's retreat from a record as higher fuel prices threatened to reduce consumer spending. Countrywide Financial Corp. pushed financial shares lower after the nation's biggest mortgage lender said regulators may force more homeowners into foreclosures through tighter borrowing guidelines.
Stocks also declined after Moody's Investors Service increased its loss estimates on subprime mortgages. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rebounded as much as 8 percent from its 2007 low in part on speculation the home-loan delinquencies would not drag down the rest of the economy.
``We're pretty cautious right now,'' said Kevin Myeroff, who oversees $1 billion as chief executive officer of NCA Financial Planners in Cleveland. ``There's too much exuberance at the moment. The market has gone a little higher than it should.''
The Dow industrials posted its first drop in eight days, slipping 42.58, or 0.3 percent, to 12,919.40. The measure earlier climbed within 17 points of reaching 13,000 for the first time. The S&P 500 fell 3.42, or 0.2 percent, to 1480.93. The Nasdaq Composite Index decreased 2.72, or 0.1 percent, to 2523.67.
Better-than-expected economic and profit reports and a record pace of mergers and acquisitions last week pushed the Dow to all-time highs and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to six-year highs.
Announced takeovers today totaled more than $130 billion worldwide, the most since Jan. 10, 2000, when America Online Inc. agreed to buy Time Warner Inc. for $186 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
`Combination'
``The combination of having those positive earnings relative to where the Street was a month ago, as well as the continued money flow into buying a new company, is really helping the market,'' said Wayne Wicker, chief investment officer of Vantagepoint Funds in Washington.
Treasuries rose for the first time in three days and the dollar weakened against the yen.
About 10 stocks declined for every nine that advanced on the New York Stock Exchange. Some 1.44 billion shares changed hands on the Big Board, 9.5 percent less than the three-month average.
Crude oil gained 2.8 percent to $65.89 a barrel in New York on concern shipments from Nigeria, Africa's biggest producer, may be disrupted as complaints about the country's presidential election spawn more violence.
Higher fuel costs may hamper consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Wal-Mart fell 83 cents to $48.93. Its 1.7 percent loss was the most this month.
Subprime Loans
Banking regulators may exacerbate delinquencies among borrowers with questionable credit histories by making it tougher to refinance subprime mortgages, Angelo Mozilo, chief executive officer of Countrywide, said in an interview.
Losses on subprime mortgages made last year will be 6 percent to 8 percent of the loan principal, Moody's estimates, up from the credit rating company's previous forecast of 5.5 percent to 6 percent.
Countrywide lost $1.11, or 3 percent, to $36.25 for its steepest decline since March 27. D.R. Horton Inc., the second- largest U.S. homebuilder, fell 80 cents, or 3.4 percent, to $22.59 for the steepest loss since March 13.
Banks in the S&P 500 retreated 0.9 percent, contributing the most to the benchmark index's drop among two dozen industries.
Bank of America Purchase
Bank of America Corp. decreased 53 cents to $50.51. The second-largest U.S. lender agreed to buy ABN Amro Holding NV's LaSalle unit for $21 billion in cash, making it the largest bank in Chicago and filling one of the few remaining holes in the nation's most extensive branch network.
Britain's Barclays Plc will buy the rest of ABN Amro for 67 million euros ($91 billion) in the world's biggest financial- services acquisition.
Elsewhere, MedImmune Inc. soared $8.56, or 18 percent, to $56.57 for the best performance in the S&P 500. AstraZeneca Plc, struggling to develop new medicines, agreed to buy MedImmune for $58 a share in cash to gain flu vaccines and an antiviral treatment for babies. MedImmune put itself up for sale after pressure from Carl Icahn and other shareholders.
Semiconductor stocks retreated after analysts said sales at Cisco Systems Inc., the world's biggest maker of computer- networking equipment, are slowing. Also, Applied Micro Circuits Corp., a maker of semiconductors for communications equipment, plunged the most since October 2000 after saying quarterly sales missed its forecast.
Chip stocks in the S&P 500 declined 0.9 percent, the second- steepest loss among 24 industry groups.
Cisco
Shares of Cisco lost 41 cents to $26.58. ``The deceleration that Cisco witnessed in its U.S. enterprise business during the January quarter has continued into its April quarter,'' wrote JMP Securities LLC analyst Samuel Wilson.
The analyst recommended investors remain cautious, saying Cisco's stock is expensive compared to its technology rivals and analysts' earnings estimates are ``too optimistic.''
Applied Micro slumped 80 cents, or 23 percent, to $2.73. Sales probably dropped 8.5 percent from the third quarter, to about $70 million, the company said.
An analyst upgrade on International Business Machines Corp. kept the Dow industrials from falling more.
IBM gained 63 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $95.21 for the Dow average's biggest advance. The world's biggest computer-services company may benefit from a weaker U.S. dollar, according to analysts at Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., who upgraded the stock to ``overweight'' from ``equal weight.''
More Upgrades
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. led brokerages higher after Merrill Lynch & Co. advised buying shares of its four Wall Street rivals. Guy Moszkowski, the top-ranked financial services analyst by Institutional Investor magazine, raised his ratings on brokerages two months after lowering them, saying the disruption in customers' risk appetite was ``short-lived.''
Goldman Sachs climbed $2.42 to $222.42 and Morgan Stanley added 65 cents to $83.56. Bear Stearns Cos. climbed 70 cents to $157.30. Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. lost 32 cents to $77.82 even after it was upgraded to ``buy'' from ``neutral.''
Hasbro Inc. climbed $2.33 to $32.54. The world's second- largest toymaker reported first-quarter profit that beat analysts' estimates as demand for Spider-Man toys and Play-Doh clay spurred the biggest sales gain in almost eight years. Net income of 19 cents a share topped estimates for profit of 1 cent.
Profits at S&P 500 companies increased 6.2 percent in the first quarter, according to analyst estimates compiled April 20 by Bloomberg. A week prior, growth of 3.1 percent was projected.
S&P 500 at 1550?
Banc of America Securities LLC predicted the S&P 500 will reach 1550 in the next year. Earnings from continuing operations for S&P 500 companies will be $92 per share in 2007, $1 higher than earlier predicted, said Thomas McManus, chief investment strategist at Banc of America.
``Despite our ongoing concern regarding the prospects for a downshift of consumer discretionary spending in 2007 and the likely negative effect on earnings, the slowdown is occurring more gradually than expected,'' McManus wrote.
The Russell 2000 Index, a benchmark for companies with a median market value of $683 million, lost 0.2 percent to 827.55. The Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 Index, the broadest measure of U.S. shares, retreated 0.2 percent to 14,983.85. Based on its decline, the value of stocks decreased by $32.6 billion.