Ok you're a lawyer...You should have stated that earlier... Can't argue with your knowledge there. But I stand by my uneducated gut feeling that AMR will be filing for bankruptcy. And when I see money being wasted when Horton tells the JP Morgan conference that AA has the highest labor costs in the industry, I am suspicious.
Since you're a lawyer, can you say for fact that AA IS NOT intentionally depleting its cash reserves?
I apologize, Hopeful. I've mentioned it before, but it was wrong of me to expect you to remember what I do. Especially since I post on various subjects as if they were also within my area of expertise.
I agree with your gut feeling, however. I see AA's cash balance falling fast. Like every other airline, AA had to pay out cash to the counterparties to its fuel hedging agreements in the last half of 2008 and in the first quarter of this year. Fortunately, AA's outlay was less than half of UA's or DL's hedging losses. But unless AArpey figures out how to increase cash and do it fast, AA is at great risk of filing later this year or early next year. Stock traders have already figured that out - that's why AA is trading at Bankruptcy-Imminent prices like $3 lately.
I'm certain that the execs are not depleting cash intentionally with a view to filing a Ch 11 petition since there are no benefits associated with filing Ch 11 with minimal cash. The more cash a company has when it files, the greater the odds it emerges. Nevertheless, AA is depleting cash. Wasting it on unecessary (according to you and me) capex and wastng it on operations. $24 billion companies are often rife with waste.
And I do not need a law degree to know that AA management is not any different from any other greedy corporate entity.
Agreed. It's often said that pilots won't intentionally fly an unsafe airplane because they themselves aren't ready to die - they want to get home safely just like everyone else. Well, in my view, management doesn't intentionally crash their companies either - they want to keep the cushy existence going as long as they can. Like squeezing golden geese, the trick is to know just how hard you can squeeze without harming egg production.
There are those that post here who like to remind us how we should not expect restore and more because the economic climate can't support such demands. But it doesn't apply to executives.
Look at AIG still getting their bonuses because its contractual. They took welfare money from the government and no bonuses will be paid. Aside from any government handout, AA execs will get "theirs" next month. AA employees, like every other taxpayer is watching the fat cats still getting their rewards, but unions are being called the greedy and unrealistic ones.
In discussing AIG on the Tonight Show last night, the President mentioned the prospect that the bonus recipients might sue if the payments were not made and acknowleged that in some places, they might be entitled to triple payments if the bonus payments were not paid on time. There are states where failure to pay wages owed can result in 10% penalties PER DAY until paid, limited to 20 days. That would result in the bonus payments totalling $500 million, not just $165 million. As the President said, the payments are legally binding contracts, but immoral and unethical. Of course, I disagree with the Pres. Stealing and embezzlement are immoral and unethical. Negotiating the best contract you can for yourself is not. And for your sake, it cannot be immoral or unethical.
You have to wonder whether the Washington liberals will ever see the irony in their outrage at the contracts these execs negotiated. Isn't it unethical and immoral for airline employees to negotiate featherbed contracts at high pay rates considering the financial prospects of the airline industry? If not, then how are the AIG execs immoral and unethical?
To me, you get what you negotiate. Historically, aircraft mechanics haven't negotiated all that well for themselves. To compare, there are lawyers now demanding upwards of $1,000 an hour for their time. Exhorbitant? Sure. But they don't use guns or knives to extract those kinds of fees. Nobody HAS to hire them at those rates. They don't even bargain collectively and thus have no strike threat (or CHAOS threat) in their arsenal.
For many years, the UAW contracts were held up by my conservative Republican rightwing friends as Exhibit A in their
Labor Gone Wild rant-filled theories. Well, when times were good, they managed to use their collective bargaining rights to their advantage. They extracted loads of economic rent, something you guys have tried to do over the years with not much success. In coming years, UAW members may themselves get a taste of what you've been drinking for many years. If they don't "voluntarily" accept concessions, it will certainly happen once GM files Ch 11.
Like I've posted before, I'd like to see the mechanics paid more, especially those in the high-cost areas. I just don't see where any airline is gonna get the money to restore. Yes, the execs are rolling in ill-gotten variable compensation. But even if they were all paid the same amount as you, that PUP/PSP money wouldn't amount to a dollar an hour raise for everyone else company-wide.