If we are just spinning hypotheses:
What would be the result of AMR spinning off AE to the shareholders and then someone like TPG backing a hostile takeover of JetBlue by AE.
In the abscense of a "concensual agreement between AA and any of the unions on the property," a prepackaged BK filing with a Sect. 1113 filing by AMR, with financing by TPG, leaves AA with many of the International flights operated by IBERIA and BRITISH AIRWAYS and the domestic operation conducted by an LCC with highly favorable ratings from customers and a common SABRE IT Platform. AA largely becomes a transaction handler making money of the seat trade through remittances from seats sold and an overhaul business that operates at OSV rates.
It is obvious that if the current Secretary of Transportation signs off on a deal allowing greater cross border ownership of US flagged air carriers and future fifth-freedom rights for EU carriers, the OBAMA administration expects that they can get Congress to sign off on the deal prior to the next election cycle.
The question is really about why none of the Unions on the AA property never applied to the NMB for Single-Carrier Status?
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LINK PROVIDED:
Wall Street Private Capital- Soo Much Money, Soo little time.
June 24, 2010, 1:11 am
On Wall Street, So Much Cash, So Little Time
“…Private equity firms, where corporate takeovers are planned and plotted, today sit atop an estimated $500 billion. But the deal makers are desperate to find deals worth doing, and the clock is ticking…”
“…Private equity funds generally tie up investors’ money for 10 years. But they typically must invest all the money within the first three to five years of the funds’ life. For giant buyout funds raised in 2006 and 2007, at the height of the bubble, time is short. They must invest their money soon or return it to clients — presumably along with some of the management fees the firms have already collected. Some of the industry’s biggest players, like David M. Rubenstein of the Carlyle Group, Henry Kravis of Kohlberg Kravis Roberts and David Bonderman of TPG, have more than $10 billion apiece in uncommitted capital — what is known as “dry powder” — according to Preqin, an industry research firm…”
“…TPG — which, according to Preqin, has one of the largest stockpiles at more than $18 billion — has bid aggressively at several auctions, according to several investment bankers.
In fact, TPG has spent $9.2 billion so far this year, investing in 11 companies, including ones in India and Brazil. That makes TPG the industry’s top deal maker, according to Dealogic, a research firm. A spokesman for TPG declined to comment…”
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LINK PROVIDED:
US, EU sign next stage of Open Skies allowing foreign ownership of US Flagged Air Carriers and "fifth-freedom" rights.
EU, US expand airline 'open skies' deal
(AFP) – Jun 24, 2010
"...The new agreement, which was signed by US Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood, deals with the thornier issue of foreign ownership of airlines.
EU companies currently can hold no more than a 25-percent stake in US counterparts.
US operators on the other hand are already allowed to control 49 percent of European carriers, a difference which has long rankled with individual carriers..."
"...The accord calls for such restrictions on majority ownership to be lifted, but it must first be signed off by the US Congress and then the EU to take effect, an uncertain and lengthy process..."
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LINK PROVIDED:
NMB Representation Manual
19.4
Initiation of Procedure for Determination of a Single Transportation System
Any organization or individual may file an application, supported by evidence of representation or a showing of interest (See Section 19.601-2), seeking a NMB determination that a single transportation system exists.
19.501
Factors Indicating a Single Transportation System
The following are some indicia of a single transportation system:
(1) published combined schedules or combined routes;
(2) standardized uniforms;
(3) common marketing, markings or insignia;
(4) integrated essential operations such as
scheduling or dispatching;
(5) centralized labor and personnel operations;
(6) combined or common management, corporate officers, and board of directors;
(7) combined workforce; and,
(8) common or overlapping ownership.
19.6
Procedure After Finding Single Transportation System
If the NMB determines that a single transportation system exists, the investigation will proceed to address the representation of the proper craft or class. The rules regarding percentage of valid authorizations in NMB Rule §1206.2 (29 CFR § 1206.2) and bar rules in NMB Rule §1206.4 (29 CFR § 1206.4) do not apply to applications filed under this section.
19.7
Status of Representation Certifications
Existing certifications remain in effect until the NMB issues a new certification or dismissal.