I just listened to Dave Siegel’s message and I believe he was being open, frank, and truthful.
For example, American’s employees are paid on average 13% less than US Airways and United employee contracts are now more productive than US Airways. These two carriers continue to restructure, but they face enormous challenges as well with items such as their underfunded pensions.
The first quarter industry wide 2003 labor Costs, when expressed as a percentage of total costs are:
Average Network Carrier - 34.1%
Highest Network Carrier - Northwest – 37.9%
Lowest Network Carrier - US Airways – 30.4%
Average Low Cost Carrier - 30.6%
Highest Low Cost Carrier - Southwest - 37.6%
Lowest Low Cost Carrier - ATA – 21.2%
Source: Aviation Daily
In regard to LCC – network carrier comparisons, JetBlue’s CASM is 6.0 cents, Southwest’s is about 7.5 cents, and AirTran’s is about 8.0 cents. US Airways is about 9.5 cents, excluding fuel.
Unfortunately, Siegel is right that our costs remain too high, but it’s not due to labor expense.
US Airways biggest problem continues to be the route network even though the stage length is being increased with Caribbean, Central American, and European expansion.
However, to sustain consistent and long-term profitability the company must cut costs in every area of its operation.
To address this issue the company will lower its unit costs in Pittsburgh and MDA will average down US Airways Group unit costs.
The new electronic pilot and flight attendant “Pref Bid†system will increase productivity and will eliminate about 300 pilot positions. In addition, there will be Crew Scheduler and Flight Attendant positions lost, however, the specific number is unknown due to the VLA program.
Although not good for labor, other employee groups will see their headcount reduced and labor expense lowered due to IT automation, e.g. Kiosks and the internet.
The wholly owneds will be consolidated creating economies of scale and lower RJ costs.
Long-term, I suspect there will be further fleet rationalization with the B767s, B757s, and B737s removed from service. The 29 A332 and A320 family order, the parked A320 family aircraft, and the EMB-190/195s will create basically two fleet types: A330/A321/A320/A319s and the EMB-170/175/190/195s. This will drive down training, parts inventory, and maintenance costs.
US Airways, United, and Star alliance partners are looking at cost synergies for areas such as joint purchasing, joint advertising, and facility integration. For example, US Airways just took custody of two United gates in Seattle lowering the Chicago-based airlines facility expense.
But, these cuts are probably not enough due to the rapidly changing fundamentals with the dramatic LCC growth.
However, in the end US Airways needs to be cost competitive and the single biggest area the company is likely to focus on to lower CASM is to increase long-haul flying, which could be the reason behind the company's interest in United's Dulles and Miami operations (more transatlantic and South American flying) and the UCT airports/operations.
The route network problem and LCC exposure is the key issue on now the UCT would solve many of United's and US Airways' key corporate and cost problems.
US Airways will need more cost cuts in the future to compete and will probably need to drive the CASM down to about 8.5 cents. At this point, the company's revenue premium, RJ expansion, and alliances, should provide the RASM to sustain permanent profitability.
The good news is the company has the liquidity and time to restructure, but the airline and its unions must find mutually acceptable ways to lower US Airways' unit costs.
Regards,
Chip