MrMarky
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On 12/5/2002 12
34 PM US2 wrote:
Sorry, Marky, but you are misreading the politics here. Edward Gramlich, Greenspan's Fed designee, was a Clinton appointee to the Fed. Formerly an economics professor, he was a professor of mine at Michigan and I cannot believe that his vote was driven by anything other than the numbers presented to the ATSB.
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Hi US2,
I don't know how things work at your alma mater in Michigan, but I do know how things work in Washington. Anyone who thinks for a minute that the ATSB is not under the influence of the administration is either overconsuming something, or is terribly naive.
The fact is that this is a political decision. In fact, the entire mandate of the ATSB runs counter to the administration's philosophy despite the broad bipartisan support in Congress to enact the ATSA. Hence, only two small carriers have received the guarantees, for an agregate amount totaling less than 5 percent of the $10 billion allocated by Congress.
The ATSB was established to aid a distressed industry. That would seem to imply that government assistance was necessary to maintain the solvency of our airlines when they were unable to access the capital markets independently. If the ATSB is going to act like bankers and say "you don't qualify for the loan - your recovery plan is inadequate", then why does the board even exist?? If United and others could qualify for the loan, there would be no reason to have an ATSB or for the carriers to seek its assistance.
The whole concept of the government loan guarantees is pretty simple. It's to help those carriers who would otherwise be unable to secure financing. For the ATSB to take the position that you have to qualify for the loan in order to get the loan guarantee, turns the entire purpose of the board's very existence on its head. It's the consummate Catch 22. "We're here to help you get loans you can't qualify for on your own. But in order to receive our help, you have to be able to qualify for the loan."
Take care,
Marky
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On 12/5/2002 12

Sorry, Marky, but you are misreading the politics here. Edward Gramlich, Greenspan's Fed designee, was a Clinton appointee to the Fed. Formerly an economics professor, he was a professor of mine at Michigan and I cannot believe that his vote was driven by anything other than the numbers presented to the ATSB.
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[/blockquote]
Hi US2,
I don't know how things work at your alma mater in Michigan, but I do know how things work in Washington. Anyone who thinks for a minute that the ATSB is not under the influence of the administration is either overconsuming something, or is terribly naive.
The fact is that this is a political decision. In fact, the entire mandate of the ATSB runs counter to the administration's philosophy despite the broad bipartisan support in Congress to enact the ATSA. Hence, only two small carriers have received the guarantees, for an agregate amount totaling less than 5 percent of the $10 billion allocated by Congress.
The ATSB was established to aid a distressed industry. That would seem to imply that government assistance was necessary to maintain the solvency of our airlines when they were unable to access the capital markets independently. If the ATSB is going to act like bankers and say "you don't qualify for the loan - your recovery plan is inadequate", then why does the board even exist?? If United and others could qualify for the loan, there would be no reason to have an ATSB or for the carriers to seek its assistance.
The whole concept of the government loan guarantees is pretty simple. It's to help those carriers who would otherwise be unable to secure financing. For the ATSB to take the position that you have to qualify for the loan in order to get the loan guarantee, turns the entire purpose of the board's very existence on its head. It's the consummate Catch 22. "We're here to help you get loans you can't qualify for on your own. But in order to receive our help, you have to be able to qualify for the loan."
Take care,
Marky