markkus757 said:
MHT and PVD will always be secondary to BOS, even if you combine the two. Right now BOS is well over 2 times larger than PVD+MHT. Even if you add BDL/PVD/MHT, BOS is still about twice as big! The thing is, the overall market is large enough to share decent service to many other markets without people having to drive a great distance to get to a specific airport. The huge discrepancy in fares is disappearing at all the airports in question, it's just a matter of getting a flight or two to certain large markets that MHT and PVD can support so pax don't have to drive to BOS to get a nonstop. These markets (from MHT/PVD would be: DEN, MIA, STL, IAH/HOU, LAX, SAN, SFO/OAK, LAS, PHX, and SEA).
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Below are the top 100 O&D lower 48 destinations from Boston and the combined MHT/PVD numbers. For a number of markets Manchester and Providence exceed Boston. For a number of markets Boston has an overwhelming lead that should over time dimish. It seems that the potential of Manchester and Providence can be determined by looking at the numbers from Orlando (69% of Boston traffic) and Chicago (63% of Boston traffic). Both of those cities have plenty of nonstop flights and low fares.
City BOSTON MHT/PVD %Boston traffic
New York, NY 3,984.78 362.82 9%
Washington, DC 2,531.73 699.55 28%
Chicago, IL 2,506.84 1,590.75 63%
Los Angeles, CA 2,437.82 469.23 19%
Orlando, FL 2,402.17 1,650.42 69%
Atlanta, GA 2,194.34 499.88 23%
San Francisco, CA 2,138.69 144.99 7%
Philadelphia, PA 1,887.06 2,042.93 108%
Ft. Lauderdale, FL 1,789.34 484.67 27%
Denver, CO 1,392.28 321.40 23%
Baltimore, MD 1,319.02 2,930.42 222%
Tampa, FL 1,317.17 1,226.51 93%
Las Vegas, NV 1,292.17 518.90 40%
Dallas/Ft. Worth, TX 1,252.06 257.06 21%
Minneapolis, MN 899.23 284.99 32%
Seattle, WA 835.97 398.36 48%
Detroit, MI 721.41 455.54 63%
Houston, TX 670.97 276.29 41%
West Palm Beach, FL 664.67 324.23 49%
Phoenix, AZ 646.63 506.83 78%
Oakland, CA 627.28 162.82 26%
Miami, FL 595.10 75.75 13%
Ft. Myers, FL 591.19 114.66 19%
San Jose, CA 549.34 146.29 27%
Long Beach, CA 531.73 0%
Raleigh/Durham, NC 508.15 452.93 89%
San Diego, CA 472.82 495.64 105%
Milwaukee, WI 440.54 68.25 15%
Pittsburgh, PA 433.69 293.79 68%
St. Louis, MO 402.28 270.10 67%
Charlotte, NC 380.76 296.62 78%
Cleveland, OH 375.54 421.40 112%
Akron/Canton, OH 365.43 0%
Salt Lake City, UT 336.63 149.34 44%
Kansas City, MO 335.54 288.47 86%
Cincinnati, OH 315.00 177.71 56%
Indianapolis, IN 306.73 247.39 81%
Dayton, OH 270.43 62.70 23%
Newport News, VA 265.54 29.12 11%
New Orleans, LA 262.39 158.25 60%
Portland, OR 256.08 286.51 112%
Greensboro, NC 247.06 99.67 40%
Norfolk, VA 244.89 264.45 108%
Buffalo, NY 235.10 48.14 20%
Jacksonville, FL 203.15 314.78 155%
Richmond, VA 200.65 60.09 30%
Memphis, TN 192.93 38.25 20%
Austin, TX 176.95 202.17 114%
Rochester, NY 168.26 16.95 10%
Myrtle Beach, SC 159.34 60.21 38%
Albuquerque, NM 159.02 157.81 99%
Savannah, GA 154.67 67.17 43%
Nashville, TN 150.00 463.69 309%
Columbus, OH 149.78 195.75 131%
Colorado Springs, CO 141.95 25.21 18%
Sacramento, CA 135.65 171.41 126%
Madison, WI 130.00 52.49 40%
Charleston, SC 126.08 75.32 60%
Grand Rapids, MI 125.97 35.32 28%
Harrisburg, PA 120.32 24.23 20%
Santa Ana, CA 117.39 124.88 106%
Omaha, NE 115.43 93.36 81%
San Antonio, TX 114.89 170.21 148%
Des Moines, IA 105.21 26.19 25%
Louisville, KY 99.23 128.80 130%
Greenville, SC 97.82 81.51 83%
Ontario, CA 96.63 94.12 97%
Reno, NV 94.89 87.81 93%
Columbia, SC 88.80 52.16 59%
Tucson, AZ 88.04 52.82 60%
Knoxville, TN 80.43 40.53 50%
Islip/Long Island, NY 75.97 0%
Syracuse, NY 74.56 0%
Wichita, KS 74.34 0%
Birmingham, AL 73.80 82.82 112%
El Paso, TX 71.30 27.49 39%
Pensacola, FL 69.89 15.00 21%
Moline, IL/Daven, IA 59.23 0%
Spokane, WA 58.04 20.76 36%
Bangor, ME 56.63 0%
Oklahoma City, OK 55.43 84.12 152%
Tallahassee, FL 55.00 25.64 47%
Boise, ID 53.36 40.31 76%
Huntsville/Decatur, AL 49.02 52.49 107%
Jackson, WY 46.95 0%
Lexington, KY 46.30 49.99 108%
Santa Barbara, CA 45.43 0%
South Bend, IN 45.21 19.02 42%
Ft. Wayne, IN 42.60 0%
Green Bay, WI 41.41 25.75 62%
Valparaiso, FL 40.54 10.76 27%
Little Rock, AR 40.54 55.96 138%
Burlington, VT 39.34 0%
Key West, FL 38.47 0%
Traverse City, MI 38.04 0%
Mobile, AL 38.04 12.82 34%
Cedar Rapids, IA 37.60 0%
Lansing, MI 36.84 32.70 89%
Asheville, NC 35.21 24.66 70%