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USAviation and Doug Parker Questions

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Maybe yes! Maybe No! No one has or had a crystal ball and US had done a pretty good job of remaining cash positive even during their darkest days so in my mind it's still debatable.

They were attracting funding as BK #2 wore on. It wasn't looking great, but the fact that US was still flying 18 months ago is a minor miracle in and of itself. The modest Q1 profit was after some significant merger charge offs that a standalone US wouldn't have had so they may have been more profitable or certainly cash positive and as you well know cash positive airlines can flounder for years.

So I guess the open question is would they have made it to Q1? That is a question that will never be able to be answered accurately and is strictly a matter of opinion. My suspicion is they would have limped through barely and then slowly begin to build cash.

What I don't debate is a standalone US Airways in it's former condition was not a long term viable solution and without America West it would have only been a matter of time until the bottom finally fell out and US closed the doors.

I gaurantee you there is no way they would have made it to Q1, and keep in mind, any of the Q1 profit was made in March, not Jan. or Feb. See if you can find the ending Q3 '05 cash balance for US and then match it up with the ATSB loan covenants and then factor that Q4 is always a cash loser. No way US would have seen March, no crystal ball needed. Done, nail in the coffin, stick a fork in them.

Why else do you think a 12-18 month merger was 'completed' in less than 6? Because the vast majority of the outside money would not kick in until the merger was 'completed' and US was out of BK.
 
Maybe yes! Maybe No! No one has or had a crystal ball and US had done a pretty good job of remaining cash positive even during their darkest days so in my mind it's still debatable.

They were attracting funding as BK #2 wore on. It wasn't looking great, but the fact that US was still flying 18 months ago is a minor miracle in and of itself. The modest Q1 profit was after some significant merger charge offs that a standalone US wouldn't have had so they may have been more profitable or certainly cash positive and as you well know cash positive airlines can flounder for years.

So I guess the open question is would they have made it to Q1? That is a question that will never be able to be answered accurately and is strictly a matter of opinion. My suspicion is they would have limped through barely and then slowly begin to build cash.

What I don't debate is a standalone US Airways in it's former condition was not a long term viable solution and without America West it would have only been a matter of time until the bottom finally fell out and US closed the doors.
You're really out of your league on this one. Sometimes you just need to accept you don't know everything.
 
The contract that's here is the one that was negotiated and ratified. If you don't like it, negotiate a better one. Failing that, go on strike. Still too much to bear, take a hike.

Please, just stop the incessant WHINING!
Nope, IAM Mechanic and Related and Fleet Service CBAs were abrogated by the judge, a final offer given to those groups by the company, not negotiated.

Don't let the facts get in your way!

And the US/HP merger was put together by John Luth of Seabury and Associates, working for US Airywas, not HP, and he was the one to arrange the funding also.

As part of its advisory to US Airways Group, Inc. in its merger with America West Holdings Corporation, Seabury arranged and/or advised in raising $829 million of common equity and $1,150,000 million of other forms of debt, supplier liquidity facilities and net asset sale proceeds.

The firm has provided restructuring advisory services to numerous airlines. Seabury currently serves as investment banker and principal restructuring advisor to Northwest Airlines in its restructuring under Chapter 11. Seabury was sole financial, restructuring and M&A advisor to US Airways in its successful emergence from Chapter 11 and merger with America West Airlines (September 2005). In that effort, Seabury raised over $680 million of private equity capital ($840 million of total equity capital) and over $2.2 billion of total cash financings for the merger. In September 2004 Seabury successfully completed a business and financial restructuring of Air Canada though Canada ’s CCAA process. For Air Canada Seabury restructured C$13 billion on-and off-balance sheet liabilities and raised C$1.1 billion of new equity capital through a combination of underwritten rights offering (C$850 million) and private equity (C$250 million). This is one of the largest passenger air carrier equity raises in history. Seabury advised Air Canada on the arrangement of C$540 million of exit debt financing as well as on financing for a new regional jet order, and on restructuring its network, distribution system and fleet.
 
There's a difference between who 'put it together' and Parker stepping up to the plate and running with the 'merger'/'purchase'.
 
Luth was hired by US to entertain merger talks, not the other way around.

Read and Learn:

How US Airways/America West merger got off the ground
Talks between airlines began in 2003, but didn't get serious until this year
Sunday, May 22, 2005

By Dan Fitzpatrick, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

The on-and-off, 18-month courtship between US Airways and America West Airlines finally clicked into place May 12 in Washington, D.C., high above the floor of the MCI Center, where executives from both airlines had gathered in US Airways' skybox to watch a Washington Wizards playoff game.

Just minutes before tip-off, with the din of exploding fireworks filling the arena, US Airways adviser John Luth received an e-mail on his BlackBerry from Air Canada Chief Executive Officer Robert Milton. It confirmed that Air Canada's board had approved an investment in the combined airline -- the final piece of a $1.5 billion financing package needed to make the deal work.

Luth waved his BlackBerry, smiled and gave everyone the news. He congratulated Doug Parker and Bruce Lakefield, the chief executive officers of America West and US Airways, and broad smiles broke out throughout the box.

The merger was on.

Announced a week later at the Tempe, Ariz., headquarters of America West, the agreement between the nation's seventh-and eight-largest airlines paired a twice-bankrupt, East Coast legacy carrier with a younger, smaller, low-cost airline that does much of its flying on the West Coast.

If they can win a slew of antitrust, shareholder and bankruptcy court approvals, US Airways and America West together would surpass discount king Southwest Airlines in size, becoming the No. 6 carrier in the nation. Together, they also could usher in an era of consolidation in the troubled airline industry, which has lost more than $30 billion since 2001.

But there were several twists along the way, according to people familiar with the events. America West was not the only carrier to express interest in US Airways, nor was America West the only partner US Airways pursued.

The search for a deal began in the fall of 2003, when David Siegel was still US Airways' chief executive officer. Siegel had led US Airways through its first bankruptcy and wrested more than $1 billion in concessions from the company's labor unions. But even as the carrier completed a painful round of cost cuts and emerged from bankruptcy, Siegel knew US Airways was still too small and too inefficient to compete against discounters such as Southwest, which had already announced plans to start service in Philadelphia, a US Airways' hub.

Siegel was convinced that for US Airways to avoid the fate of failed carriers such as Eastern Airlines and Pan Am, both of which liquidated in the 1980s, he would have to bring US Airways' costs down further and position the airline for consolidation with another carrier. He explored several options.

Acquire United Airlines, the nation's No. 2 carrier. That option was code-named "Project Minnow," with US Airways as the small fish gobbling the bigger one.

Combine with British entrepreneur Richard Branson's Virgin Atlantic, which was interested in US Airways' Washington-Boston-New York shuttle, along with slots and gates in the Northeast.

Split the airline in two and merge the Philadelphia and Charlotte, N.C., hub-and-spoke network with one carrier and its slots and gates in Washington, Boston and New York with another.

But US Airways ultimately rejected those options. United did not have any interest in a deal and was too distracted by its own struggles in bankruptcy. Virgin Atlantic wanted lots of US Airways assets -- gates, planes, airport equipment -- to help launch a new U.S. airline, but all it would offer in retrun was the Virgin brand name. US Airways also turned down several inquiries from other carriers -- including Southwest, JetBlue Airways and AirTran Airways -- about acquiring the company's assets but not its employees.

In the end, only America West wanted both.

Siegel made the initial connection. He knew Parker and Executive Vice President Scott Kirby at America West. Their first face-to-face meeting was in October 2003, over dinner in a Washington, D.C., restaurant. They were joined by then-US Airways Chief Financial Officer Neal Cohen.

But the talks ended several months later. At the request of US Airways' board, Siegel departed from the company in April 2004. According to Parker, the first round of discussions failed because US Airways' costs were still too high. Siegel had started a campaign to lower union costs further, but labor leaders refused to deal with him, contributing to his ouster.

Retired Lehman Bros. executive Bruce Lakefield, a friend of US Airways chairman David Bronner, replaced Siegel and sought to save US Airways. He asked unions to help with another round of concessions. When that failed, Lakefield took the company into bankruptcy again and squeezed another $1 billion in concessions from the unions, using the power of the U.S. Bankruptcy Court to hammer home new contracts modeled after America West's labor agreements.

In January, with fuel prices at a record high and doubts aired about US Airways' survival after its Christmas baggage meltdown in Philadelphia, Lakefield picked up the phone and called Parker, suggesting that "maybe we should begin those talks again," according to Parker.

But America West did not have enough cash to lift US Airways out of bankruptcy. It was up to Luth, the US Airways adviser, to find enough investment money to piece the deal together and give the combined company a fighting chance to thrive in the battered airline industry.

Luth and US Airways had serious discussions with more than a dozen investors. They all requested shared participation in a merged airline -- no one wanted to take on all the risk. The Retirement Systems of Alabama, which rescued US Airways from its first bankruptcy in 2003 with a $240 million investment, stands to lose it all if US Airways emerges from bankruptcy and issues new stock.

Luth went after the companies that had something to gain from an investment in US Airways and America West. Aircraft maker Airbus agreed to provide $250 million in exchange for US Airways' pledge to buy dozens of A320 jets in the future. Regional commuter carrier Air Wisconsin Airlines made a $125 million investment in exchange for a jet services partnership. The Appleton, Wis.-based airline will fly for the merged carrier on a contract basis.

Credit card companies may provide $300 million in order to reach new customers. And once-bankrupt Air Canada offered $75 million, good for a 7 percent stake in the new company, in exchange for the rights to bid on the maintenance contract for the new carrier's fleet of 361 jets.

Air Canada was the last in line.

Once its approval came last Thursday, employees at both airlines scrambled to obtain approval from their boards of directors. US Airways' directors signed off Wednesday, over the telephone. America West's board approved it Thursday, in Tempe.


Labor leaders were briefed, and a press release was sent out. Parker and Lakefield spent much of Thursday night explaining the deal to reporters before Lakefield took a red-eye flight back to Washington. Parker, who has been tapped to lead the merged airline, met with employees and went home. Before going to bed, he explained the deal in one final live shot with local TV, from his house.



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Dan Fitzpatrick can be reached at dfitzpatrick@post-gazette.com or 412-263-1752.
 
I just don't see why you are trying to contradict my point.

The merger was necessary for US Airways to survive. The merger wouldn't have happened without Parker's consent / approval and buy in.

So, Parker stepped up to the plate and saved US Airways.

If it wasn't Parker, then maybe someone else would have, but US Airways couldn't stand on it's own.

WHO HAD THE higher ground? US Airways could afford to walk away from Merger talks. America West could.

Just because someone 'facilitated' talks doesn't really debunk the fact that Parker saved US Airways.

Just exactly which unemployment line would you be in without Parker?
 
2nd and 3rd and 4th verse same as the 1st.

We'll get back to you when we get the answers.
 
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