Wow, Row, you need a road map to follow your scenario.
Mine is a little for to the point.
USAirways/Northwest (I only think this because PAR owns a who bunch of both of us!) If there were a merger in the near term, I don't think we'd see an operational merger for a few years. They would have to be completely run as two seperate airlines until the US/AWA sides are completely merged, then begin the process of merging NW into US Airways.
- Hubs: PHX, MSP, PHL, CLT
- Focus cities: LAS, DTW, DCA, LGA, BOS, MEM
- Int'l Gateways: SFO (Pacific Rim), PHL (Europe), CLT (Carribean/So. Am.)
United - Stays the same unless it can come up with a monitarilly-neutral way to acquire Continental, in which case Delta would die. If it folds in CO, it may eliminate EWR, opening up entry into the NY market to SW.
American - Stays the same or possibly buys Alaska; ramps up DCA/LGA/BOS shuttle in the event Delta parishes.
Continental/Delta - Sheds JFK and keeps EWR.
- Hubs: IAH, ATL, EWR
- Focus Cities: CLE, SLC, DCA, LGA, BOS
- Int'l Gateways: ATL, EWR