[quote name='Nor'Easta' post='377466' date='May 3 2006, 06:09 PM']As of February 2006, we had something like 2,600 or so f/a's who were able to retire. These f/a's hve or are finishing their best 4/10 years. Once done they should retire.[/quote]
That's the critical part of the puzzle in most workgroups...
Intuitively, I'd expect most FA's had their best 4/10 between 1997 and 2001, even though the pay cuts didn't kick in until 2003. Sure, there was a contract increase in 2001, but I don't know that it was enough to offset the reduced schedule after 9/11 and during 2002. Remember that AA wasn't back at a full schedule until some point in 3Q02, and the pay cuts took effect at the beginning of 2Q03.
So, starting in 2007, it's likely that a mass exodus will begin, followed in 2008 in management/agent/support staff, who have a best 3/10 in their pensions.