Prove that they take twice the amount to turn an aircraft and who cares how long it takes if you don't need the aircraft that fast. AA has more aircraft out of service than anyone else daily. So we are better? Uh, no.
Ferry costs are only a factor of you don't fly there already. UA, DL, and CO all fly to various destinations in Asia (China, Hong Kong, and Singapore) so ferry costs are a non-issue for them on widebody fleet. Narrowbodies, DL flies to Mexico where Aeromexico does their MD80s for a lot less than $25/hour. FYI the going rate for labor including overhead is $55/hour for airframe touch labor. AA is more like double that. So in Mexico DL can hire three to do what AA does with the cost of one. That's a big cost hurdle. Jetblue and US send their A320s down to El Salvador where they charge less than $55/hour and even though Jetblue doesn't fly there, they go to many Caribbean and Mexican destinations, not a big cost for C Check that is once very 6 years.
Isn't AA over a barrel? There are planes stacking up in TUL waiting for C Checks and the AA has been talking about outsourcing them temporarily to catch up. AA has a supply (overhaul space) and demand problem as well but all their over capacity work will have to go to a high labor cost base. That is unless the TWU builds in some flexibility on work rules, innovative work processes, and add in some vastly improved line maintenance in service levels.
Your facts need checking. NWA flew for many years with only 800 mechanics after the strike. Yeah they had a hiccup but they got back up and running with scab labor, foreign outsourcing, and an accommodating group of federal regulators.
The TWU has some big hurdles to overcome and beating your fist on the table demanding a release has not helped us. Maybe we should hold those Presidents accountable that convinced us to vote no that a better deal was coming shortly? They still go week after week to negotiate and spend money while we wait and suffer. The line presidents run around going to each other's swearing in to welcome a new member to the Presidents Tree Fort Club and haven't got us a deal. The committee has to get their act together now!
Prove it? I experienced it first hand. I used to work at a facility like the ones you profess to say are the saviors of the aircraft maintenance industry. Who are you kidding when you say "who cares how long a heavy check takes"?
That line might work well on somebody that doesn't work in the industry. Your overhaul cost numbers are BS as well. Then factor in the time it takes to un-do the screw ups made at these airframe chop shops.
Funny you mention NWA, I had family there - some now at Delta - no scabs though. I heard the horror stories of NWA's chop shop overhauled 747s. Painting over corrosion, elongating holes to make bolts fit through etc. etc.. It usually took a week or two extra, to make the aircraft airworthy.
You speak of NWA flying with only 800 aircraft mechanics. Yeah, that is the public perception. The inside story is much more grim. Again, I saw first hand the skills, or lack there of said scabs. I met several of them, as they felt obligated to swing by while we were out doing our checks. It was like a who's who of the wretched refuse. The level of skill at NWA dropped so much, that the tech writers were tasked with having to dumb down the maintenance manuals - that is the Gods honest truth.
I am saying, time is gonna come when these domestic aircraft chop shops will no longer be able to take in more work. At this point, they cannot staff their facilities with skilled labor. Ask yourself, would you go to A&P school for two years, drop upwards of $30k at a: Embry Riddle, Spartan, Northrop, PIA or a similar institution only to work at some chop shop? The laws of supply and demand will come into play. The chop shops, in an effort to attract more talent, will have to offer more pay and benefits, still won't be enough. This will drive the cost up to the airlines using their services. The airline got rid of their overhaul capability - oh oh - no alternative.
The almighty dollar vs safety. Fly the plane down to one of these third world hell holes. To have a bunch of illiterate simpletons - who have no concept of the importance of the structures and components they may be working on are.
Now to the untrained eye, people like you, may argue there is no difference in the quality of work performed at one of these banana republics vs Tulsa. Well, Aerosmith has a song - it called "Dream On".