Hearing: State of the Airline Industry

brokenwrench

Senior
Oct 27, 2006
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Statement of Daniel K. Inouye
Hearing: State of the Airline Industry: the Potential Impact of Airline Mergers and Industry Consolidation
Wednesday, January 24, 2007

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Over the past five years, the airline industry has suffered its worst financial performance in the history of commercial flight. Collectively, domestic air carriers have lost nearly $40 billion, but after intense restructuring among the major carriers, the industry may have turned a corner. Even conservative estimates suggest the airline industry will turn a profit of $4 billion in 2007. Despite this positive outlook, most industry observers warn that external factors or other negative business trends could dramatically impact any potential profits next year or beyond.

In this climate, US Airways has proposed a merger with Delta Air Lines that many believe would lead to rapid consolidation of the legacy air carriers serving the United States. Due to the industry-wide implications of the proposed consolidation, it is critical that the Senate Commerce Committee review and understand the potential effects of such a deal. Aviation is vitally important to our nation’s system of transportation and commerce. We must be quite certain that the likely benefits of various merger proposals far outweigh any potential consequences.

Financial analysts generally agree that consolidation will be good for the airline industry because it will quickly ease problems of overcapacity. However, industry is just one part of the equation the Congress must consider. We must also weigh the extent to which consolidation is in the best interest of consumers, particularly since the impact of decreased capacity on travelers and local communities is less clear.

Multiple mergers would reduce air service where combined route structures overlap significantly, and consequently allow industry to raise fares and maintain much higher fares. Both of these consequences -- fewer options and sustained higher prices -- hurt the consumer. Further, airline workers, who have already given so much in wage and benefit cuts during the past five years, would have to compete for the fewer jobs that remain after consolidation of the fleet.

In the coming months, the Commerce Committee will be working on a significant reauthorization of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). We will continue to closely follow the state of the industry and the impact of airline mergers on the American public. If the benefits of consolidation are less than promised, we will have to consider addressing this matter in the context of the FAA Reauthorization legislation we plan to develop this Congress.
 
A couple themes emerged.

Promises of the past in the airline industry have rarely translated into reality, not because those who made them lied but because economic forces on the airline industry forced airline managers to make decisions that undid their promises. AA's treatment of TW and its employees got considerable press thanks to one of the Senators from Missouri.

Small town service was the biggest issue and one that no one (the two execs or other witnesses) were able to guarantee wouldn't be affected. DL made the point over and over that taking 200 airplanes worth of flying out of the combined US/DL will have no choice but to reduce service).

Senators were overall very reluctant to embrace consolidation in the industry - and no one denied that the DL/US deal wouldn't lead to more consolidation. The airline industry has a terrible track record for mergers and the Senators there did not express any desire to see consolidation occur knowing that it will result in a reduction in choices and service quality and an increase in fares.

Pension issues were raised and DL was given credit for trying to save what it could of its employees' pensions while Parker was questioned both by Senators and labor representatives that US could leave DL's employee pensions as is in a merged DL/US.

Grinstein has a long and successful track record in Washington, including obtaining pension reform. This hearing is just one more success in his career and probably the final salvo that will be necessary to defeat US' hostile takeover attempt.
 
Question: I cannot figure out where Grinstein is getting the 200 aircraft number from. Didn't DP mention a 10% reduction? Even when you include all of the Delta Connection carriers, that does not add up to 2000 aircraft, does it? What am I missing?
 
BTW did you see Grinstein interviewed on CNBC today? He was stuttering, and really searching for words. Is that normal? Yikes.... :eek:
 
BTW did you see Grinstein interviewed on CNBC today? He was stuttering, and really searching for words. Is that normal? Yikes.... :eek:

well stuttering normal? no. the man is under pressure and is upwards of 70+ years old.

could he have done a better job? probably...
 
well stuttering normal? no. the man is under pressure and is upwards of 70+ years old.

could he have done a better job? probably...

Where was the Senate hearings when a solvent well run, zero debt Northwest was being raided by LBO thieves in 1989?

We should have fought in the streets.
 
Grinstein has spoken haltingly for a long time. He is old but I've also heard that people who interrupt their speaking are actually thinking much faster than they can speak. I'm not making a judgment on that issue re: Grinstein - but he is effective in getting what he wants from Washington.

Redbone,
I agree with you and I think NW is the poster child of a solid, high quality airline being ruined because of corporate raiders. For whatever reason - and perhaps not to end up like NW, DL employees have fought long and hard to preserve their future... by all accounts they have been very successive in getting help from Washington on key issues. Perhaps not being unionized has some value in not accepting that a union will take care of key issues for you.
 
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