I was pm'ed this soon after I posted my question and it makes it sound like there will be no vote and USAPA will cease to exist......
This is from the NMB's Representation Manual, pg. 7:
3.601 Percentage of Authorizations Required
If the craft or class involved in the investigation is represented and is covered by a valid existing contract between any such representative and the carrier, the application must be supported by a majority (more than 50%) of valid authorizations from individuals in the craft or class. In all other circumstances, an application must be supported by at least thirty-five (35) percent of valid authorizations from individuals in the craft or class. See also NMB Rules §§1206.2 and 1206.5 (29 CFR §§1206.2 and 1206.5). The percentage of authorizations required in a merger is governed by Manual Section 19.0.
From pg 28:
19.601 Showing of Interest on the Single Transportation System
Incumbent organizations or individuals on the affected carrier(s) must submit evidence of representation or a showing of interest from at least thirty-five (35) percent of the employees in the craft or class. This evidence includes, but is not limited to, a seniority list, dues check-off list, a current collective bargaining agreement or a certification, or other indicia of current representation.
http://www.nmb.gov/r....ion-manual.pdf