How much worse would it have been without the stimulus? Most of th e money went to states, which mostly have are required to have balanced budgets. What if those states had laid off teachers, law enforcement, and people that provide other essential services? How many other local businesses would have suffered without those folks' income in the system? How many mor layoffs would that have generated. Welcome to teh economic snowball from hell.
Interesting Link:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/post/did-the-stimulus-work-a-review-of-the-nine-best-studies-on-the-subject/2011/08/16/gIQAThbibJ_blog.html
Maybe maintaining 8.3% was a victory, compared to what might have been. Maybe more stimulus was what was really needed... not less/none.
It worked for Reagan... massive government spending... helped end the recession of 1982/82.
However... It is far more complex than saying the Reagan's economic ideas ended the "Carter Recession".
Even though Reagan inherited a recession that was not as severe as the one Obama got handed, and did not involve the threats to the global banking system and the issues created by the attempt to create a single European currency by linking economies of vastly different countries, not to mention the effect of China/India on global energy prices, the e
conomy did not emerge from recession until the 3rd year of his term.
Further, Reagan's economic theories were never fully implimented - Congress eagerly embraced the tax cut element of his philosophy, but refused to trim domestic spending while simultaneously r
amping up defense spending (which created a stimulus effect which had some effect on ending the recession).
Economic reality, including long time scales, the unknowable long-term effect of short term actions, the interconnectivity with events around the globe, etc.,
makes blaming or crediting a President a foolish exercise.
Yeah, I "borrowed" some of that.