SpinDoc said:
Can anyone explain why oil futures are so high right now?
There is no rational explanation. Supply is not tight, so
there goes that rationale. Supplies are not in danger from
terrorism or other outside sources, so there goes that
rationale.
[post="286765"][/post]
New York Times:
"For most of the past two years, oil markets have become extremely volatile, a reflection of the
lack of spare production capacity, insufficient refineries, strong demand from consumers in the United States and China, and supply disruptions from such big producers as Iraq or Venezuela."
Deborah White, senior commodities economist with Socitï Gïnïrale in Paris:
"Other than the weather, and hurricanes, and refineries going down, and
Saudi Arabia and Iran, and strong economic statistics, there really is no reason why crude oil prices should be so high. It must be speculation, don't you think?"
Bloomberg:
"
Terrorists in Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil producer, may be in the final stages of planning attacks there, the U.K. Foreign Office said yesterday."
"Iran, the
Middle East's second-largest oil producer, has provoked a ``grave crisis'' by resuming uranium conversion work, French Foreign Minister Philippe Douste-Blazy said, according to Agence France-Presse."
" The U.S. yesterday shut its Embassy in Riyadh and consulates in Jeddah and Dhahran because of a threat against U.S. government buildings in Saudi Arabia. The U.K. has allowed non-essential diplomatic staff to leave the kingdom. The threats follow King Fahd's death on Aug. 1, which increased speculation about the stability of output from the region. Saudi security forces for more than two years have been battling
suspected sympathizers of Osama bin Laden's al-Qaeda network, who have targeted Westerners in a bid to undermine the ruling al-Saud family and
threaten the oil industry. "
" Oil prices are unlikely to fall any time soon, given the strength of the U.S. economy, the risk of more refinery shutdowns and the odds of further tropical storms disrupting supplies in the Gulf of Mexico."
Jim