WorldTraveler
Corn Field
- Joined
- Dec 5, 2003
- Messages
- 21,709
- Reaction score
- 10,662
Fares aren't the only explanation for the size of US' operation in PIT. PIT economically is very similar to its downriver friend, CVG thanks in large part to the very liberal use of RJs - which incidentally came to the US via CVG. Even with high fares, DL managed to build a hub that is much, much larger than any city on the banks of the Ohio should expect to have. Now that DL has decided to be the airline of all of southern Ohio/N. Kentucky/S Indiana, they will have even more business to come their way. DL also spent a fraction to build a much larger facility than PIT yet CVG is ranked as one of the world's most preferred airports by passengers.
The fact remains that there are too many hubs in the US, particularly in the midwest. I'm not sure that even if US had done everything in PIT that DL did in CVG that the PIT hub could have been maintained. DL is a larger airline with long standing alliances and has the ability to push many more destinations and passengers through CVG. When the industry finally begins consolidating, CVG will probably lose hub status since DL recognizes that CVG is too small for a large hub but they can't currently have a hub in either ORD or DTW, the only two cities that realistically can support a major depeaked hub - the only efficient way to operate a hub.
CLT is probably not big enough to remain a hub in the depeaked efficient manner that hubs must operate in order to be profitable. Based on the criteria that are emerging as necessary for legacy carriers to operate hubs, the only true hubs are likely to be at EWR, JFK (although no one has a true omnidirectional hub there now), PHL, ATL, DTW, MIA, ORD, DFW, SFO, LAX (again, no one operates a true large omnidirectional hub) , SEA, PHX, and DEN. Every airline has hubs that will disappear. That is more than enough capacity to handle the hubbing needs of the US. The rest of the current hubs will likely become focus cities to which LCCs will be more than interested in supplementing the service pattern.
The fact remains that there are too many hubs in the US, particularly in the midwest. I'm not sure that even if US had done everything in PIT that DL did in CVG that the PIT hub could have been maintained. DL is a larger airline with long standing alliances and has the ability to push many more destinations and passengers through CVG. When the industry finally begins consolidating, CVG will probably lose hub status since DL recognizes that CVG is too small for a large hub but they can't currently have a hub in either ORD or DTW, the only two cities that realistically can support a major depeaked hub - the only efficient way to operate a hub.
CLT is probably not big enough to remain a hub in the depeaked efficient manner that hubs must operate in order to be profitable. Based on the criteria that are emerging as necessary for legacy carriers to operate hubs, the only true hubs are likely to be at EWR, JFK (although no one has a true omnidirectional hub there now), PHL, ATL, DTW, MIA, ORD, DFW, SFO, LAX (again, no one operates a true large omnidirectional hub) , SEA, PHX, and DEN. Every airline has hubs that will disappear. That is more than enough capacity to handle the hubbing needs of the US. The rest of the current hubs will likely become focus cities to which LCCs will be more than interested in supplementing the service pattern.