That's a legitimate document. To keep things in perspective this is the plan based on the new CBA, if the 3/22 term sheet had been implemented pretty much all airframe overhaul would be gone and the Base cuts more severe. So when you hear the CBA saved jobs it is in the context of what could have been.
Now the HC numbers in this document are based off the Jan 2012 HC so any attrition would reduce the total RIFs. Another offset to the RIF impact would be the EO and SiS. The RIF number would further be reduced by that number as well. Being realistic, there will be people RIF'd.
No one in the TWU Int'l has said this was a great CBA but it is the best at mitigating the job reductions had the 3/22 term sheet been implemented. Yes we will lose more HC when the new fleet impact hits but keep in mind, if there are no LC/HC's to do because they are new, that means the outsourcing 35% of nothing is nothing. When those aircraft get older, AA will have to bring 65% of that maintenance spend in-house. No other CBA has language like that. UA/CO and US CBA's have no cap on outsourcing. WN locks in a certain amount of lines and a minimum HC of 2.75 per aircraft regardless of work volume.
Pretty much all of airframe would have been gone? Where? It would take time to find places to do all that work and not too many places are looking to gear up for MD-80 work, capacity is tight and with Pemco or whoever that was closing shop it just got tighter.
The CBA didnt mitigate squat and you know it, we destroyed all the jobs. Had the CBA been abrogated the headcount wouldnt have gone down any more than it will now. The language lets them outsource as much as they can under current market conditions, they probably wont even use the 35%, after all our wages are so low its probably not worth it even if they found places to do it.
While the outsourcing of 35% of nothing is nothing, along with the maintenance holiday there goes all the jobs you claimed you saved thanks to the fact we lost system protection. In other words they can continue to outsource 35% as the total pie shrinks and eliminate more and more of the jobs that we destroyed the profession for. As new planes come on line thats work we never did, most likely part of the exclusions that the contract mentions that are not considered part of the spend and there is nothing forcing them to bring back any OH as you caim. They can also do like WN and now UAL is starting and have heavier phase checks on the line, which would bring up the spend on the line and allow AA to outsource all their airframe overhaul anywhere in the world. I notice you dont say much about how WN can outsource overseas anymore, they have restrictions, the only restriction we have is the 35% plus exclusions, of the total maintenance spend so there really is no limit on how much AO they can outsource overseas. UAL has language that the NBs can only be outsourced Domestically, that brings up costs and is driving the work back in house, AA can search the whole world for the cheapest rates thanks to you. That work will likely never come back to Tulsa once it goes out and you know it. AA could easily stay within the 65% on Line Maint, DWH OH, Taesl, plus parts once the MD-80s and 757s are gone. And if Taesl goes away the cap jumps upto at least 45%, plus exclusions.
The fact is the language in the CBA isnt that restrictive as far as shipping out OH. 100% of OH can be shipped out if it only comes out to whatever the 'accordingly' figure would be if they close Taesl.
In negotiations the company agreed that the TWU would work anything AA flew, but they didnt say we would do all the work, or that the new aircraft would fall under the outsourcing formula. In other words if we work on them on the Line they have kept their word, nothing in the contract says we will do the OH. You claim that the 65% language will force them to bring OH work in house, thats stretching it. They have to keep 65% of the spend in house, but thats not 65% of the labor spend, its 65% of the total spend, including parts. So even if new aircraft did fall under the formula there is a very good possibility that by the time those aircraft need AO that there will be places overseas with even cheaper labor than even Tulsa is willing to provide that can do the work so cheaply that all the AO would be outsourced, and doesnt that drive most of the heads? AA wanted system protection for a reason, they offered 95% of the pilots system protection but they offered us nothing.
So despite the way you try and spin things the fact is there is no cap on outsourcing OH. There is a cap on Line Maint, 15% but if they can manage to outsource all of OH without it going over the 35% of Total Maint spend-including parts, then their is nothing in our language stopping them. You claim that other carriers have no limits, I beleieve you are wrong. USAIR is said to have a cap of 50% of OH HOURS billed, thats much more restrictive than our language, You keep bringing up WN, but WN didnt lay off people to outsource, they always outsourced, even when they were making less than us. If anything, as they have grown they've brought more work in, but not at the expense of wages and benefits. The Union didnt get us our jobs, we all got hired through our own efforts, I expect my dues to go towards maximizing pay and benefits for us, not to discount my labor so AA can hire more dues payers in the future.