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On 3/28/2003 2
31 PM 737nCH11 wrote:
iflyjetz,
I was also thinking about the increased number of furloughs due to higher pilot productivity. I wonder if Tilton was serious about taking back some of the flying that we have given to UAX over the past couple of years and giving it to the low cost operation. If so, then the increased flying might keep quite a few guys and gals on the property. Any thoughts?
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With the new rates and work rules, I expect Tilton to get rid of a lot of UAX flying. The savings are probably mitigated with this new TA, and UAX tarnishes the franchise. How? Flying in an RJ is a cramped experience. Forget about carry on luggage; the overhead bins can barely fit winter coats.
Frequent flyers hate RJs (go to www.flyertalk.com to get a feeling of what bothers FFs). Sidebar: Ozstamps is often on flyertalk; Ozstamps, I hope that you''ve decided to come back to UAL; your business is appreciated. Adding RJs to routes is starting to chase away frequent flyers, our bread and butter.
Do I think that this will keep a lot of pilots on property? Maybe, but the new work rules instantly puts us at 1000 pilots fat. It''ll take a lot of RJ routes to keep them employed.
One other reason why Tilton will probably replace some UAX with LCC is that the UAX carriers are fighting to not have their contracts voided. Those contracts were/are expensive, set up at a time when there was little or no excess capacity.
I''ll also toss in this point ... with the new contract, UAL is instantly overmanned by 1000 pilots. It would take a series of bumps and training to wring the excesses out of the system. A faster solution would be to increase block hours. That increase of block hours would come out of UAX''s hide.
I know that I''ve been rambling here and dancing around the question. Bottom line is that I think that the LCO will take some of UAX''s routes. It may save a few hundred jobs; I''ll make no prediction on a specific number.