avek00 said:
In addition to the airlines directly involved, another likely victim of a US/HP merger would be United - UA would lose much of its West Coast pricing power and face an unprecedented squeeze on transcon routes (which the new airline will add like crazy to connect the route networks).
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What pricing power does United currently enjoy on either the West Coast or transcons?
The PS service supposedly has decent loads, but that's a niche. Other than that, UA has not enjoyed pricing power out west for years. See LUV and HP. Your hatred of United is driving foolish statements. Relax.
As for "adding transcons to connect the route networks," this has been tried already: PSA. It failed. (why, given equal fares, do I go JAX-CLT-PHX-SMF when I can go JAX-DFW-SMF?)
US won't be the acquiring entity here, folks. HP has enjoyed some profitable time since 9/11, and has a management team with much more acumen. Plus, they are not the bankrupt entity.
I hate to say it, but look for dropping more aircraft and general leases in Chapter 11, and another round of 1113 motions (where the theme will be
give up change of control protection, or we liquidate). Failing that, look for a Chapter 7 auction a-la TWA.
Finally, forget all of that, and take a look at the route map again, think back to PSA, and prey it does not happen.