Word is AA/US have settled with the DOJ

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Homemade formulae, eh?
 
Nope.
 
Here's the breakdown of AA's operations at DFW, based on SSIM data:
Code:
Airport: DFW     
DOW: 2

Mainline                    
      Type     Seats Ops          Seats          
AA     77W     310     1          310          
AA     777     247     6          1482          
AA     763     218     9          1962          
AA     757     184     40         7360          
AA     75R     176     0          0          
AA     762     168     0          0          
AA     738     150     102        15300          
AA     M80     140     228        31920          
AA     M83     135     105        14175          
AA     319     128     0          0
 
Flights:  491             
Seats:    72509
AvgSeats: 147
                                                            

Commuter:
AA     E175     76     0          0          
AA     CR7     65     1          65          
AA     CR2     50     0          0          
AA     ERD     50     88          4400          
AA     ER4     44     176          7744          
AA     ERR     37     0     
 
Flights:  265     
Seats:    12209     
AvgSeats: 46
 

Consolidated:
Flights: 756     
Seats:   84,718

Local Mix 
x42%:    35,582
Call it home-made if it makes you feel better, but this is the stuff airlines pay $1500 per day for someone on my team to do for them. They have plenty of people who can regurgitate raw data the way you do, but they don't have people who can look at it in a non-binary way.

We also sell the tools for doing this more graphically, but I don't think you can afford it.

What I've found in the last half decade of consulting is that pragmatic almost always wins over an emotional argument.

You can come up with all the crazy ass theories and non-quantifiable inputs (like what you're proposing is going to magically happen when WN is free to roam about the country from DAL), but what's provable usually comes to pass.

And right now, what WN's been doing the past five years is provable. They didn't come into PHL and kill USAirways. They've underwhelmed in ATL.

My guess is they'll underwhelm at DAL as well, especially if they're trying to come to grips with a slot windfall up in the Northeast, and simultaneously dealing with a much different competitive situation in what's their largest station, PHX, and finally getting down to the actual integration of AirTran into WN and v.v.
 
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congratulations, E, you came up with the same schedule statistics I have.

Would you like to divide that ~85,000 seat number by the 756 flights and tell me the average aircraft size you come up with?

But you only have the schedule piece of the data.

Now go find the data on local revenue and passengers from the DOT.

I have no idea what the local mix number is that you cite but it is not the DOT's statistics for local boarding passengers.

You're going to have to come up with a justification for your number of 42% local passengers.
 
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