UA closing DEN?... WT, me thinks you need a drug test.
You had to go back to the 1980's and early 1990's to talk about failed network expansions at BNA, RDU, and SJC. Conveniently, you overlooked the expansion at LAX which has put AA ahead of AS, UA and DL there.
And MIA? You are somewhat ignorant of that market. EA's authorities gave it a jump start, but only account for perhaps half (if not less) of the markets AA is currently serving out of MIA. AA's continually added there, and will continue to do so.
DL maintaining its share at DFW? Hogwash. US Airways has a higher share than DL. The argument that "flow traffic moved to MEM" is also weak. DL closed the hub eight or ten years ago, and the NW acquisition wasn't until 2009. What happened in the 'tween years?....
I know you bleed DL red. And that's OK. But the widget colored glasses are beginning to taint your view again. AA's got big issues to overcome, but I don't see network being one of them.
Slightly related, with the BA/IB merger being closed as of yesterday, I think oneworld is going to start giving Star and Skyteam a bigger run for the money in Europe. IB's geography and network combined with BA's management is going to be a solid combination. LHR's two runway in good weather airport has been saturated for decades, and suffers in poor weather. That is not the case with MAD by any means. It's the only real fair weather hub airport anywhere in Europe, easy to transit, and has excessive runway capacity when compared to FRA, LHR, CDG or AMS.
To the extent that flow traffic currently at extremely high cost LHR can be shifted over MAD, I think you'll see some interesting outcomes.
E,
with all due respect, I think your contempt for DL and your loyalty to AA are blinding you of the reality of what is happening in the airline industry.... and not surprisingly, it is also the same failure of AA labor to fully grasp the strategic threat to AA that makes it very possible that AA will indeed be relegated to 2nd tier status from which it will be unable to effectively compete.
I have followed the airline industry long enough to know that AA has been a very well run company for a long time - and has been the leader in marketing and finance for years... in fact, part of what makes it hard for me and others - perhaps you - to watch AA lose its competitive edge.
I think if you were honest, you would admit that AA's leadership has not extended to its network development.... deregulation and the opportunity to expand beyond the traditional strengths of the regulated era didn't happen yesterday... none of the prederegulation era airlines, DL, UA, and US as well as WN included didn't start closing the gap on their network deficiencies this decade - so it is very much part of the discussion to talk about what has happened with network growth 20 years ago.
BNA, RDU, and SJC were all failed expansions by AA... when you fast forward to the last decade and the TW acquisition, AA unwound that expansion so my statement is very much valid that AA's domestic network of today is very little changed in terms of hubs and major routes than it was in the early 80s right after deregulation with DFW and ORD being AA's primary domestic hubs.
I have ALWAYS given AA credit for what it has done in MIA and Latin America - but MIA is not a domestic connecting hub. It serves the local market - and EA did the same thing. AA did take a far less developed Latin hub and has expanded it - but it also points out that AA bought a leadership position in Latin America and has maintained it.
AA has always been strong in LAX so what they are today isn't much different from what they have always been.... since other carriers have flown most of the markets which AA is now adding, we'll wait on whether they are successes for AA. And BTW, UA and CO today are larger than AA at LAX - so AA WILL lose its position at LAX.
You might want to hold onto your suggestions about a drug test... do you realize that UA now has less than 33% local market share - the lowest percentage of any network carrier at any of their hubs? Do you realize that WN now boards 90% of the local passengers UA does despite not serving the top NE markets nonstop? Do you also realize that UA has pulled more capacity out of DEN than any other hub this year. WN continues to grow at DEN, F9 hasn't gone away, and UA's strategy of skimming off the top passengers hasn't worked and has only allowed other carriers to take share - including giving them the ability to price the market. Within five years, I am quite certain that UA will have less than 20% of the local market at DEN... if you want to continue to call that a viable hub, go ahead but it seems pretty apparent that UA intends to shift its flow capacity south to IAH and up to ORD and relegate DEN just to local market status.
As for flow capacity, I don't have the numbers in front of me but if you look at key southeast to southwest O&Ds like LA/MS/AR/western TN O&Ds to the west, I am quite sure you will see that DL is still in those markets despite having closed DFW. DL was supporting a hub of 200 flights to essentially serve only those network flows because they at best got about 15% of the local DFW market - 1/3 of what AA had - and further evidence that you can't be a fraction of the size of your competitor and effectively stay as a player.
More significantly, DL moved that DFW hub capacity to the NE, esp. NYC where even now DL has overtaken AA as the largest airline on the NY side of NYC - and if the slot deal goes through - it is very possible that DL could indeed grow to parity with CO in the local NYC market since EWR will never attract the percentage of local passengers per flight that LGA and JFK does.
We have discussed the DL vs US at DFW issue before - DOT stats for the 2nd quarter show DL larger than US in both revenue and passengers... but it still doesn't really change the point that DL has maintained a position in DFW- what US doesn't change that - and DL does indeed provide global access from DFW- US doesn't because its network doesn't support it - so DFW can't do more than US' network provides. It's also worth noting that FL will leave DFW-ATL as part of the WN merger, one of DL and AA's top markets and DL, as the largest carrier already will likely retain its market share relative to AA - while I am not aware of any growth in US' market that is on the horizon.
Actually, I do not bleed DL red... but you and others find it very hard to give DL the credit for doing what AA tried to do 7 years ago out of court. Fuel prices spiked in 2005 - a year and 1/2 into AA's restructuring - they stopped growing but the other four network airlines restructured in BK and gained the advantages that AA thought they would get outside of BK.
I commend AA for taking the out of court route - but the simple fact is that it didn't work... AA's network has not grown where others have - and even in places where AA has been traditionally strong such as RDU and BNA and BOS, other network carriers have overtaken AA.
AA is incrementally tweaking while other carriers are moving ahead in larger leaps through mergers and larger scale initiatives.
The fact that the first how many pages of this thread was about a massive widebody expansion that turned out to be an order for 2 - yes 2 as you said it - 773ERs goes to show how badly AA people want to see AA grow - but it hasn't happened - and my contention still stands that when it does with AA's current cost structure, let me know and I'll eat my words.