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Airline Industry Frankenstein Could Creak To Life

funguy2 said:
I will disagree with a few knit-pick-y items...

My recollection is that it is the only PRE-payment forced by what was anticipated to be a breach of the loan covenent. I believe the timing was close to the "going concern" clause, but I don't recall role of the auditor's statement in pushing an ATSB action. Certainly, both events seems to occur in the same timeframe.

From Section 5.1(b)iii of the ATSB Loan Covenants ("Year-End Financials"):

an accountant's report thereon of KPMG LLP or other independent certified public accountants of recognized national standing selected by the Borrower or Group, as the case may be, which report (1) shall be unqualified as to scope, (2) for each Fiscal Year commencing with the Fiscal Year ending December 31, 2003, shall not contain a going concern qualification...

Read the press release I linked. It specifically references the auditors' report.

I suspect that the reason why the loan balance has been reduced is that the anticipated REGULAR payments have been made since... I think Boeing Boy said they were around $180mil due twice each year.

The original repayment schedule specified payments of $125 million every six months, beginning 10/1/2006, with a final payment of $250 million on 10/1/2009. The various prepayments certainly have changed this schedule somewhat.
 
Sorry, guys. Seeing that $180 million figure shook a little rust out of the mental cogs...

That should have been "about $180 million per year paid semi-annually". That's something of a guess. Originally, the $1 billion had payments of $250 million per year paid as $125 million semi-annually. Something over 25% of the loan has been prepaid, and seems like one of the restructurings reduced the payments a little more with the final payment being higher.

When I originally should have said is "$180 million per year payable semi-annually starting 10/1/06"".

Sorry for the bad info... :blush:

Jim
 
Boeing Boy: No problems with me.

sfb: I stand corrected. Thanks. I'll stick by my statement that the two events (the auditor's going concern statement and the approach to breaching the minimum unrestricted cash balance) occurred at roughly the same time. Thus I guess we can say US Airways busted (or would have) two conditions of the ATSB-guaranteed loan. But again, I stand corrected

(a little jab I realize but, I will note for the record that I actually did stand up and admit to being wrong, unlike some USAviation.com posters)

And, on the topic of what has been paid down... It is hard to keep track, given all the changes. I think its safe to say some amount has been paid down via the normal semi-annual payment. What that amount is, I don't know.
 
funguy2 said:
And, on the topic of what has been paid down... It is hard to keep track, given all the changes. I think its safe to say some amount has been paid down via the normal semi-annual payment. What that amount is, I don't know.
[post="270478"][/post]​

At the risk of having another lapse into senility, here's my recollections....

There have been no regular payments - I could definitely be wrong, but I believe the original payment schedule called for 8 semi-annual payments ($125 million each) starting next spring and ending in the fall of 2009.

The first and second prepayments (possibly simultaneously) were 1 - the US proceeds from the sale of Wired.com (sold in 4th qtr 2003, either 75% or 100% of $25 million of proceeds toward the loan) and 2 - the $250 million late in 1st qtr 2004 at the 1st restructuring of the loan.

This restructuring changed the sale of assets provision such that US could keep 25% of proceeds (hence my uncertainty as to whether 75% or 100% of Wired.com proceeds went to prepayment). I think this restructuring only reduced the scheduled loan payments and didn't change the schedule.

Next was (IIRC) $5 million in the second restructuring of the loan sometime in early summer 2004 (June comes to mind). In this restructuring, US gave up the right to keep 25% of the proceeds of any asset sale. Again, I think this is the restructuring that postponed the 1st scheduled payment 6 months, reduced the first 6 payments scheduled and provided a final 7th balloon payment of the balance.

Jim

As far as I've seen, that's all the prepayments.
 
funguy & sfb,

You both undoubtedly noticed my mistake above - we sold our interest in Hotwire.com in late 2003, not Wired.com. I was close, but no cigar....

Jim
 
Boeing Boy - that's good stuff...

For some reason, I thought US Airways would be into the normal payment schedule fairly quickly, as I believe AWA already is into its normal payment schedule.

Again, thanks for the correction and the details.
 
Sometimes the neurons fire and sometimes they don't, funguy. I've gone back and looked at some of the old filings, so let me make a couple more corrections.

The original payment schedule was for 6 equal biannual payments of $125 million each starting 10/01/06 ($112.5M to Tranche A & $12.5M to Tranche B). There was a final payment due 10/01/09 of $250 million ($225M Tranche A & $25M Tranche B). I was wrong when I said that the payment schedule was pushed back in the post above.

The sale of Hotwire (Inc, not .com - another misfire) resulted in a $30 million gain (not $25M - don't worry, I can't hide my own Easter eggs quite yet). Maybe you and sfb will give me partial credit - of the $30M from the sale, $24M went to the ATSB lenders as prepayment of the loan principal according to the annual report.

Roughly coincident with the annual report, US announced loan restructuring #1 (the following is from the annual report for 2003):

"Effective March 12, 2004, US Airways entered into an amendment to the ATSB Loan which provides for a partial prepayment of the loan and modifications of financial covenants (covenant relief) for the measurement periods beginning June 30, 2004 through December 31, 2005. Existing ratios used in financial covenants have been adjusted and reset to accommodate the Company’s forecast for 2004 and 2005. In exchange for this covenant relief, US Airways will make an immediate voluntary prepayment of $250 million, which will reduce, pro rata, all future scheduled principal payments of the ATSB Loan (rather than shortening the remaining life of the loan)."

"The amendment also provides for US Airways to retain, at its election, up to 25% of the net cash proceeds from any asset sale up to a total of $125 million to the extent that, among other things, definitive documentation for such asset sales is completed by February 28, 2005." (Hence the retention of some of the Hotwire proceeds)

As I believe you hinted, there were also changes to the financial ratio requirements going forward, but sfb is also right -

"Finally, in consideration for the ATSB lenders amending the provision related to the going concern paragraph in the independent auditor’s report for the Company’s audited financial statements for the year December 31, 2003, US Airways agreed to change the month end minimum unrestricted cash covenant to exceed the lesser of the outstanding ATSB Loan balance or $700 million and to commit that no intra-month end of day unrestricted cash balance would fall below the lesser of the outstanding ATSB Loan balance or $575 million."

So, as of 3/31/04 US had prepaid $274M of the $1B principal and all scheduled payments had been reduced respectfully - my calculator says that's 6 semiannual payments of $90.75M with a final payment of $181.5M, beginning on 10/1/06 and ending on 10/1/09.

Loan restructuring #2:

"Effective May 21, 2004, US Airways amended the ATSB Loan .....In consideration for this amendment, US Airways agreed to a revised covenant providing that month end minimum unrestricted cash will equal or exceed the lesser of the outstanding ATSB Loan balance and $725 million and that no intra-month end of day unrestricted cash balance will fall below the lesser of the outstanding ATSB Loan balance and $625 million. In addition, US Airways agreed to give up the right to retain up to 25% of the net cash proceeds from any asset sale, as had been permitted by the March 12, 2004 amendment. US Airways made a prepayment of $5 million in connection with this amendment."

"In consideration for this amendment, the Company agreed to change the loan amortization schedule, by increasing each of the first six principal repayment installments commencing on October 1, 2006 by approximately $16 million, and reducing the last principal repayment installment on October 1, 2009 by $94 million."

Other than minimum cash balances, that brings it up to date, at least as far as what's been made public. As you can see from the last change, I had it backward - the first 6 payments increased instead of decreased and the final payment decreased instead of increased. Let's just say I didn't run off the road into senility, but got a couple of wheels off onto the shoulder....

In closing, it looks like the first 6 payments are $107M each, with the final payment about $88M.

Jim
 
Heck, after screwing up initially on the size of the payments then screwing up other details while trying to correct the 1st screwup, it's the least I could do...

😳 😳 😳

Jim
 
BoeingBoy said:
Heck, after screwing up initially on the size of the payments then screwing up other details while trying to correct the 1st screwup, it's the least I could do...

😳 😳 😳

Jim

Which is what separates you from a certain pile-it whose head would probably explode if he actually had to admit that he were wrong about something.

When would now be a good time for the UCT/ICT/SCT to not shoot the messenger?

Respectfully,

sfb

Seriously, thank you for sharing lots of good information that's relatively free of spin.
 

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