It's too bad that United and US Airways could not find a way to merge during their 5th trip to the later in the past 13 years. I believe both companies have great employees and the combined carrier would have been a powerful business entity.
Now United's post 2008 merger attempt business plan is going to be painful for employees. Teh loss of about 100 aircraft could mean about 1,200 pilot furloughs, 2,000 F/A furloughs, along with the loss of CSA, Ramp, and Mechanic positions.
Thsi is not good and one has to wonder if US Airways and United had merged if the $1.5 billion in annual savings would have saved some of this flying/jobs.
Regards,
USA320Pilot
Your concern, and disappointment of the failure of UA&US to merger, is obviously well founded. At current fuel prices, a merger with US would have provided several important advantages to USAirways pilots.
#1 it would have bought some time for the most senior US Pilots to finish their careers with a paycheck.
#2 it would have provided a way out of the mess created by the East and the USAPA and their civil war.
#3 it would have provided a cash payout to US East pilots of $250 Million plus at least a 4.5% raise. (
"The US Airways pilots based in the East have a contract provision awarding them $250 million in the event of a consolidation with another carrier. The same US Airways pilots also have the option of a new 1- to 3-year contract and across-the-board pay increases of 4.5 percent if a merger were to happen.")
HOWEVER, once the "claimed" savings did not materialize (or as Tilton said, issues "could significantly dilute benefits from a transaction"), and the remainder of the savings were exhausted by merger costs and labor unrest, the remaining employees would be left holding the bag and we'd be right back where we are now.
No thank you. US is in a precarious situation due to their limited ability to access capital, and will be forced to deal with the surging fuel costs with similar percentages of cuts, just like all other airlines. It is FAR better for UA and it's employees in the long run, to take the painful steps now, than to postpone the inevitable and endure even more later. This will be a case of "survival of the fittest," and those who are able to adapt quickly and aggressively will be the ones to survive.
As for your furlough numbers, they are incorrect and IMO an attempt at creating fear. No one knows for sure what the result will be on front line employees, least of all a USAirways pilot, since the analysis is still underway. Considering that the 737 fleet has 969 pilots, and the fact that UA has been woefully understaffed for some time, and that a small amount of flying will be absorbed by increased utilization of the remaining fleet, and the mitigation of furloughs through surplus reduction lines, leaves of absence, and other measures, plus the costs associated with retraining, indicates that pilot furloughs will most likely be held closer to the 700 mark at the most.
Additionally, industry conditions may very well change long before that worse case scenario comes to bear. A burst of the oil speculation bubble or the failure of another domestic airline that would reduce industry capacity overnight, could change the entire landscape. It is far too soon to predict doom and gloom and massive front line employee furloughs of the magnitude you suggested.
Perhaps now that USAirways is saddled with fixing it's own house, dealing with continued labor unrest, as well as dealing with rocketing fuel costs, and industry wide reductions in domestic flying, US would be best off focusing inward as United has decided to do.