As flawed of a measure as it is, stock price -is- a reflection of
future performance relative to the peer group. There's little dispute about the fact that AMR is still seen as more likely to post higher profits in 2006 than the other stocks in the peer group.
Quite honestly, the way DAL and NWAC were performing pre-bankruptcy, the AMR would still have been outperforming the peer group even if those carriers hadn't filed Ch.11.
WN has been a flat performing stock for many years now, mainly because it's oversubscribed, and also because while people expect them to remain as profitable as they are today, they're not expected to have double-digit earnings growth going forward.
Even if JBLU and AAI were in the peer group, I suspect AMR would have performed better, since they're also not expected to continue double-digit earnings growth.
The only two legal ways to manipulate stock prices are to 1) buy back stock or 2) show progress and the potential for future earnings growth above what it currently is.
Those who believe that the stock price was deliberatly manipulated need to go put on your tin foil hats and look out the window for the black helicopters that are circling your house...
MCI Transplant said:
So are you saying the media picked it up from the SEC report?
Perhaps, but they're more likely to have read it in EagleEye, which is the guidance email that Investor Relations provides to both the media and the investment community whenever there's a SEC filing or major announcement which may have have forward-looking implications for financials.