I guess I am still not seeing why some here think AA is so scared of having to give a 90-day notice. An operation the size of AA would routinely be planning at least 90 days out.
Bear, I'm going to try one last time, but you need to quit thinking about planning. It has NOTHING (nada, rien) to do with planning. Of course, the company plans the flying schedule months in advance. And, they continually tweak that schedule right up until the last minute. And, they know months in advance how many flight attendants they need (and by definition, how many they don't need) for that planned flying.
Ok? With me so far? You seem to think that they will announce the overage as soon as they know it. That would be incorrect. They do not announce an overage until the very last minute. If they were to announce tomorrow that there will be an overage of 500 f/as in January, a number of us who might be subject to that furlough might quit and go find another job. That would leave them
short of flight attendants for the Thanksgiving and Christmas holiday travel season. Do you follow?
Now, about that "very last minute" to announce the furlough. That's what we are talking about. Let's say they announce on 31DEC09 that there is an overage of 499 f/as. That is the number
subject to furlough. Of that 499, 249 or fewer are based in LGA or ORD. The company can furlough all of us effective 31JAN10--30 days notice; only 30 days on the payroll when they didn't need us. If the number subject to furlough is 500 total or greater, the Federal WARN act kicks in and they could not furlough us until 28FEB10--60 days notice; two months on the payroll for all of us when they didn't really need us. If more than 249 of the people subject to furlough are based in ORD or based in LGA, then that state's WARN act kicks in and they could not furlough us until 31MAR10--90 days notice; 3 whole months they would have to pay people they don't need.
I can't think of any way else to explain this. Again, it has nothing to do with planning. It has to do with how quickly they can get people off the payroll
at their convenience; not the convenience of the employee or the union.
You are reading something into this that isn't there. You also seem to think that we are saying that the company
cannot give 90 days notice. We are not, nor have we been, saying any such thing. It is not that the company cannot. They most certainly can. The point is they don't WANT to have to give 90 days notice when they can get away with 30 days notice.