MITT, win Ohio, go to '1600. LOSE, it's back to Belmont Mass !

[eolesen]

No, he's widening the gap, Bears. I know you are in denial, but the last few credible polls have Mitt ahead.

Time to stop relying on other people to do your analysis -- start looking at the data behind the polls that show Obama with a wide lead, and you find a huge oversampling of Democrats. They keep using 2008 ratios instead of something reflecting the 2010 midterms or the primaries... That sort of bias doesn't appear to be as prevalent in Gallup or Rasmussen.

 

[NewHampshire Black Bears]

No, he's widening the gap, Bears. I know you are in denial, but the last few credible polls have Mitt ahead.

Time to stop relying on other people to do your analysis -- start looking at the data behind the polls that show Obama with a wide lead, and you find a huge oversampling of Democrats. They keep using 2008 ratios instead of something reflecting the 2010 midterms or the primaries... That sort of bias doesn't appear to be as prevalent in Gallup or Rasmussen.

Sorry Eric,...Rasmussen is as credible as FOX NEWS !

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

but the last few credible polls have Mitt ahead.

Yeah, the only credible polls are the ones that what you want to see.

 

[cltrat]

Yeah, the only credible polls are the ones that what you want to see.

seems to be working for Bears

 

[delldude]

Yeah, the only credible polls are the ones that what you want to see.

How you get around Romney trending positive in many Obama states?

 

[NewHampshire Black Bears]

How you get around Romney trending positive in many Obama states?

dell, 'trending positive'..is factual, But NOT indicitive of MITTens Winning said state.

(But SHITE, ....YOU already knew that. ) !!

 

[Knotbuyinit]

dell, 'trending positive'..is factual, But NOT indicitive of MITTens Winning said state.

(But SHITE, ....YOU already knew that. ) !!

So you agree the same logic applies to Obama as well. Thanks for playing.

 

[cltrat]

dell, 'trending positive'..is factual, But NOT indicitive of MITTens Winning said state.

(But SHITE, ....YOU already knew that. ) !!

Gallup has a poll showing Romney up 52 to 45 with early voters, if that is anywhere close to true your boy is toast! unless you want to discount Gallup as a Fox mouthpiece since they don't say what you want to believe

 

[eolesen]

Glenn and Bears, how do you explain away the undersampling of Republicans in the polls showing Obama ahead?

Even Rasmussen and Gallup are showing more Democrats than Republicans in their polls. Yet Obama is losing. How do you explain that?

 

[eolesen]

Clarification: Gallup and Rasmussen's D+ advantage is in the swing states

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

RCP POLL AVERAGE
States Obama Romney
Colo. 47.8% 47.8%
Fla. 48.0% 49.0%
Iowa 48.7% 47.7%
Nev. 50.0% 47.6%
N.H. 48.7% 47.7%
N.C. 46.0% 49.3%
Ohio 49.0% 46.6%
Va. 47.4% 47.9%
Wis. 49.3% 47.0%

Leaning/Likely State Votes 237 191
Total Overall Votes 281 257

 

[delldude]

Look where Obama is campaigning for a true reflection of his internal polling.

 

[eolesen]

RCP POLL AVERAGE

Funny you mention that.

Even the guys at RCP are saying averaging has issues....

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/10/31/whats_behind_the_state-national_poll_divergence_115979-2.html

Obviously, we at RCP love averages. But you have to be careful with them. Example: If you say the capital of the United States is Washington, D.C., and I say it is New York, the best course of action is not to compromise and call it Philadelphia. Similarly, we have enough national pollsters consistently saying one thing, and enough state pollsters saying another, that I’m fairly sure the “right” answer won’t be in the middle. It really is a “two men enter, one man leaves” situation.

 

[delldude]

RCP POLL AVERAGE
States Obama Romney
Colo. 47.8% 47.8%
Fla. 48.0% 49.0%
Iowa 48.7% 47.7%
Nev. 50.0% 47.6%
N.H. 48.7% 47.7%
N.C. 46.0% 49.3%
Ohio 49.0% 46.6%
Va. 47.4% 47.9%
Wis. 49.3% 47.0%

Leaning/Likely State Votes 237 191
Total Overall Votes 281 257

An overwhelming percentage of Russians said the reelection of US President Barack Obama would better serve Russia’s national interests as opposed to the presidential challenger, Mitt Romney.
With the presidential race in the United States going down to the wire among American voters, Mitt Romney must be thankful that Russian citizens are not eligible to vote in US elections.
In a nationwide poll that tracked Russians’ political attitudes, a whopping 41 per cent of respondents said they want to see President Obama voted back into the White House, while just 8 per cent expressed preference for Republican challenger Mitt Romney.
The poll showed a wide diversity among the two camps. Statistically, Russians who said they want to see Barack Obama back in the White House for another four years are male (48 per cent), well-educated (25 per cent) with above-average consumer status (60 per cent). Forty-six per cent of the US president’s Russian power base hail from villages or cities with fewer than 100,000 people (45 per cent).
The majority of respondents who prefer Romney are women (9 per cent), young Russians (11 per cent), respondents with education lower than secondary or vocational training (9 per cent), respondents with a moderate consumer status (incomes sufficient for food only -11 per cent), and residents of small towns (10 per cent).

http://rt.com/politics/obama-romney-election-us-russia-putin-576/

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

How many Russian citizens are voting in Ohio?