It might have, we'll never know, but I think I have some pretty good supporting background.
I think everyone forgets how bad the Kirby was, and that was before the great recession. Not just the pay rates, but the whole thing like NO raise for E190s. Then we would have been dickering while the recession hit and the company was hurting again. Parker always said he wouldn't pay us the same as UA/DL, and I believe him. Did you catch his statement after the last F/A rejection? He said that turning down a contract offer doesn't get it sweetened, just more time to think about it. We would have still been a fractured group with no power. So, the east pilots would have had to make an economic decision. Take the Kirby, warts and all with the Nic, or stay on LOA 93. I think the resounding failure of the Ferguson ticket gives some evidence that passing a Nic inclusive contract, absent a merger, would have been tough.
Again, who knows, but the FACT is that we are here because of our original agreement, one you guys didn't have any issue with until after the fact, the T/A.
Thanks for answering my question though. Better than Dave did.