Most everyone has grown tired of your facts , truths , and above all you'r speculation . Please give DL a rest on here ...it's gone beyond creepy!
I'm sorry but the conversation is not about DL and I haven't mentioned DL in this post.
This post is presumably about an opportunity which Mikey was excited about - and I certainly don't want to dampen his enthusiasm.
But the simple fact is that AA does not have a viable presence in the Pacific and is losing ground in Japan despite the JV.
Given that HND flights have not for any carrier proven to be a viable alternative to comparable NRT flights, I am simply noting that there is no reason to believe this flight will deliver any profitability to AA anytime soon.
I'm sorry if you aren't interested in this kind of information but it is real and there are people who find it of interest.
With Open Skies to/from Japan (subject to NRT and HND slot issues), I would expect fares to decline. Have fares to/from LHR declined since the Open Skies treaty went into effect in early 2008?
LAX-HND makes more sense than ORD or DFW given that LAX is an online connection for almost the entire country (except for the Pacfic NW). Isn't that part of the problem that DL faced with DTW? It's a great hub but for people west of the Mississippi, it's not an efficient connection.
actually, average fares have not declined in either LHR or Japan post Open Skies. Share shifted at LHR from incumbents AA and UA to the new carriers but fares are pretty much flat.
In Japan, fares are up quite a lot... but Asia's economy has been thru alot of changes over the years and the reasons may or may not be valid.
Passengers in both markets are up about the same 15%.
The problem w/ HND is primarily slot driven - a result of the Japanese government's fear that NRT will become obsolete if too many int'l flights are allowed into HND - as well as an attempt to protect Japanese carriers who have an advantage at HND - but are unable to efficiently connect it to their transpac networks.
The implications for AA are that, short of significantly improved slot times, there is little reason to believe that they will fare any better on LAX-HND than any other carrier has to HND.
DL decided it wasn't realistic to continue to operate a flight that might one day become profitable and said if they could not move the flight to SEA, they would consent to a rebid.
Note also that AA, in the initial requests from DL to move the DTW flight to SEA said that AA did not object to DL's request to move the flight if AA also had the freedom to move the JFK-HND flight where it could produce better results. If AA was satisfied w/ JFK-HND, I don't think they would be asking to be able to move the flight.
UA and HA both were more aggressive in their filings with the DOT, arguing that the slot should be rebid - which is what the DOT is doing.