Predictions:end_of_alpa said:It looks valid. First off, usually the biggest trigger for 19.4 Initiation of Procedure for Determination of a Single Transportation System is a single FAA Certificate of Convenience and Necessity. I do not expect the NMB to issue anything until that happens (I'm not saying it couldn't, I'm just saying that Single Certificate is a certifiable measurement of completeness and is all I have ever seen with certifying Airline Employee unions).
Here is a good read as to how the NMB operates. Also you can go to their website and read for yourself how they determine Single Transportation Systems with the various and numerous rulings abounding thereof.
http://www.nmb.gov/representation/representation-manual.pdf
You may wish to note that the NMB HAS conditionally approved or to that effect that an INTEGRATED SENIORITY LIST must be completed prior to a ruling.
What happens in the here and now with the APA is not the same as what happened with US Airways and AWA. Not by a long shot.
Secondly, from what I am reading just from what you present....this isn't any kind of "smoking gun" considering the process outlined in the MOU is being complied with.
NMB sets a new record for determination with this merger.
AoL outlasts USAPA.
USAPA won't be at SLI
East, West, and APA at SLI
Nic-like integration using Nic-like east/west list with APA.
DOH/LOS no where near SLI
Short, if any, fences.