Flyboy4u said:
You won't see any recalls probably for this year. In fact, I have been told the company is actually offering leaves again. Also, supposedly there is 1500 already out on leave do to return by July.
The
official company line per the furloughee hotline (did you know there is such a thing?) is that there are no recalls of furloughees scheduled for 2004. Also, the number of f/a's on OVLs is approximately 1300. This is the total of the people who took a 12 month leave beginning 01JUL03 and those who took a 9 month leave beginning 01OCT03. All current OVLs are scheduled to expire 30JUN04.
That being said...
1. There have been major expansions announced in Intl; such as, LAX-NRT, LAX-LGW, and LAX-SJU. The proffer for 250 f/a's at LAX-I was recently filled, and I understand the awards went down as far as 11years. I heard that in the last prior proffer at LAX-I the most
junior f/a who held the proffer had approx. 30 years. Moving 250 f/a's to Intl at one time causes a hole somewhere in Domestic, can't help but.
Related Rumor: I also heard that the company has decided that 250 wasn't enough flight attendants to support the new flying at LAX-I. Well, think about it...
12 f/a to NRT (777) + 12 f/a to LGW (777) + 5 f/a to SJU (757) = 29 f/a each day outbound assuming all 3 services are daily x 7 days = 203 f/a's per week outbound. On any given day, you have close to that number inbound or laying over at the destination airport. And you haven't even covered reserves yet.
2. All the added domestic flying that we have all seen announced here and elsewhere. Unless the currently flying f/a's are lying through their teeth about how everyone is stretched thin, who's going to fly these trips? A lot of the flying begins this summer or is summer seasonal. Maybe the 1300 returning from OVL will be sufficient to cover the added flying.
Related Rumor: I heard that approx. half of those on OVL do not intend or will be unable to return.
3. I read somewhere (maybe here at USAviation.com) that total attrition for last year--quit/died/retired/fired--was 903. Unless the company cuts back on mainline flying instead of increasing it, they can not sustain this attrition rate for long.
Related Rumor: As soon as the stock options are cashed (April) a number of flight attendants not eligible for retirement are planning to quit because of the new working conditions. Also, as soon as the 777 arbitration award is paid in October, there will be an exodus of senior flight attendants to retirement.
4. Another rumor from over at American Eagle is that in April they expect to lose most of the furloughed AA flight attendants working for them to a recall. Supposedly that is why they have a minimum hire goal of 500 new flight attendants this year. Of course, the turnover at Eagle is pretty high most years anyway.
5.
Negative Rumor: Most of the stations served by F100 flying will be given to American Eagle when the last of the Fokkers are grounded in Sept. This would alleviate the need for mainline flight attendants somewhat.
Now all of this or none of this may be true. Let me very clear that this is all rumor. Some of it from more reliable sources than other parts of it. I guess we'll just have to wait and see, but personally I don't believe that the company can make it all the way to 2005 without additional flight attendants.