TranStates now says they are adding RJ’s at STL and picking up at least some of the flying to about 15 cities, including DCA, EWR and DEN.
Based on this, and the preliminary word that mainline departures are dropping to 53, I did some speculation on what might happen to the current mainline markets at STL. It’s 100% speculation, and I can only guess what mainline routes another AA* carrier might take over, but here’s a possible tally that comes up to 53/day. Mainline flights per day listed at left:
0 ATL 5 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 AUS 3 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
3 BWI 5 now
3 BOS 5 now
0 COS 2 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
7 ORD 12 now
0 CMH 4 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
8 DFW 12 now
0 DEN 5 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 DSM 3 now, all to another AA*
2 FLL 3 now
1 RSW 1 now
0 BDL 3 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 IND 3 now, all to another AA*
3 LAS 4 now
3 LAX 6 now
3 MIA 4 now
0 MSP 6 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 MSY 4 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
4 LGA 6 now
0 EWR 5 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 ORF 3 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
3 MCO 4 now
2 PHX 3 now
0 RDU 3 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 RIC 3 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 SAT 4 now, all to another AA*
3 SAN 4 now
3 SFO 4 now
3 SEA 5 now
2 TPA 3 now
0 IAD 4 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 DCA 6 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
Total: 53/day
This is certainly just speculation. And perhaps just because TranStates is going to be adding STL-DCA (for example), that doesn’t necessarily mean that RJ’s are taking over ALL of the STL-DCA flights. But we know several longer routes are being kept which are most likely not going to RJ’s (SEA, BOS, LAS, etc). Allow a few mainline flights to those cities, throw in mainlines to DFW, ORD and LGA, and you approach 53 very quickly. I suspect that similar to Delta’s hub at DFW, nearly all the flying from STL under 900 miles will be on RJ’s (except for DFW and ORD).
Based on this, and the preliminary word that mainline departures are dropping to 53, I did some speculation on what might happen to the current mainline markets at STL. It’s 100% speculation, and I can only guess what mainline routes another AA* carrier might take over, but here’s a possible tally that comes up to 53/day. Mainline flights per day listed at left:
0 ATL 5 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 AUS 3 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
3 BWI 5 now
3 BOS 5 now
0 COS 2 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
7 ORD 12 now
0 CMH 4 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
8 DFW 12 now
0 DEN 5 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 DSM 3 now, all to another AA*
2 FLL 3 now
1 RSW 1 now
0 BDL 3 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 IND 3 now, all to another AA*
3 LAS 4 now
3 LAX 6 now
3 MIA 4 now
0 MSP 6 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 MSY 4 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
4 LGA 6 now
0 EWR 5 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 ORF 3 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
3 MCO 4 now
2 PHX 3 now
0 RDU 3 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 RIC 3 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 SAT 4 now, all to another AA*
3 SAN 4 now
3 SFO 4 now
3 SEA 5 now
2 TPA 3 now
0 IAD 4 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
0 DCA 6 now, all to TranStates and perhaps another AA*
Total: 53/day
This is certainly just speculation. And perhaps just because TranStates is going to be adding STL-DCA (for example), that doesn’t necessarily mean that RJ’s are taking over ALL of the STL-DCA flights. But we know several longer routes are being kept which are most likely not going to RJ’s (SEA, BOS, LAS, etc). Allow a few mainline flights to those cities, throw in mainlines to DFW, ORD and LGA, and you approach 53 very quickly. I suspect that similar to Delta’s hub at DFW, nearly all the flying from STL under 900 miles will be on RJ’s (except for DFW and ORD).