Let's see, about 200 pilots who voted for ALPA last time on the East were on LTD and brow beat through an everyday mail campaign to support them because they would loose their LTD benefits. Not only did they not loose them but USAPA won a grievance that restored over 35 million dollars in withheld payments to their DC retirement plans. Those 200 votes are gone either because they won't vote this time around, or worse for the ALPA click they will actually vote for USAPA next time, if that ever occurs because they won't even be filling out cards more than likely.
There are a few people on this board who supported ALPA the first time that have actually been turned through the juvenile West foot stomping and spew of BS. As it stands right now, its doubtful the vote would be as close as it was last time.