PineyBob said:
Bear96,
Here is the challenge for airlines in this new age. First Class must generate enough incremental revenue to cover its cost. NO ONE disputes this. What is kinda interesting is how do you determine if F/C "Pays" for itself?
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Yup. And you know what Bob, we probably agree more than disagree on this. (Despite our spats in the past --
😉 -- and it is nice to have a civil conversation with you for a change, by the way!)
Let's pull back for a moment and look at the "big picture." I have posed this question before, either here or on FlyerTalk, and never gotten a real response. So let me try again.
A lot of frequent flyers, like you, seem to think the fares they pay are sufficient to justify a profitable high level of service (hot meals; nice wine; good clubs; big seats; etc. -- and to all destinations at frequent, convenient times), and seem to assume that there just HAS to be this big untapped market out there of people willing to pay high enough fares to make such services feasible.
This begs the question, Why does it seem to be so difficult to do? In other words, if it is THAT easy, and there is SO much money to be made just "giving the business traveller what s/he wants" in the way of nice perks, why has NO ONE been able to succeed with that business model?
Sure, once in a while we have had a little niche player that offers a flight or two a day to a handful of destinations in true luxury. I forget their names now but one operated out of DAL briefly, another did transcons out of one of the NYC airports, and there have been many others.
So my question is, Why does that business model seem to fail, while the "lowest common denominator" is the only business model that seems to succeed over time?
The conclusion I reach is that despite the frequent travellers who consider themselves to be "high yield" and think the fares they pay MUST be enough to support all the perks they moan about wanting, either ( A ) they really have no idea of the true costs of providing these perks (and consequently the fares they pay really aren't enough to cover those costs), and/or ( B ) there aren't enough of these high yield passengers to provide sufficient volume for airlines to be able to provide these perks to every destination, at all hours of the day, which the high-yield business passenger demands.
And may I emphasize that key issue. There must be sufficient numbers of these high yield passengers to justify frequent service on multiple routes, to match the complex schedules these types of travellers have. Once or twice a day just won't cut it; you need HIGH FREQUENCY or these people -- whose time are in extremely short supply -- will go with the airline that may provide a significantly lower level of service, but at much more frequent and convenient timing. (Like, ahem, Southwest.) This means you have to have sufficient numbers of these high-yield travellers to justify all these amenities, to a vast number of markets, many many times per day. VERRRRY expensive.
Bottom line: The proof is in the pudding. If it is so simple to provide all the amenities y'all claim you want at the fares y'all are willing to pay, WHERE ARE THESE CARRIERS? Why can NO ONE do it profitably?
If it is such a simple, sure-fire failsafe business model to provide all these perks at the "it's the fares, stupid" level of fares y'all seem to suggest, why aren't you out there starting your own airline with this sure-fire business model?
You could be billionaires!