GorgeousGeorge
Senior
- Joined
- Apr 29, 2008
- Messages
- 326
- Reaction score
- 357
You've got 15 EMB-190s plus the three ATA 757s that can go away tomorrow. Eliminate those jobs (likely in the even more severe second dip we're entering) and recalculate. You'll be at at least a third retiring from the right seat, and 100% on LOA93.
Enjoy LOA93 and the re-downgrades
If I understand correctly, the 3 ATA are now embedded in their fleet minimum as their group 2 and larger aircraft number has bottomed out at 202 but you are correct about the 15 EMB 190's. Eliminating 175 positions for those only would change the percentages a couple of points and the raw numbers and where they come from are unchanged.
Food for thought look at the numbers for 10 years past age 65 retirement commencement. 2190 retirements. 500 are gone the top 500 or 100%. 945 of the 1000 are gone or 94.5%. 1410 out of the top half or 85.5%. So absent any growth within 10 years of age 65 retirement attrition, the bottom half of their list will occupy the top half.
No downgrades to be seen there and if your doom and gloom prediction about the economy holds true, I think they would want to stay the course more than ever. If the economy really gets that bad, any contract gains would likely be short lived anyway but staying the course keeps their seniority intact in the face of it.