One BIG NO, this looks like the contract the union said the judge gave us two yrs ago.
This will be interesting. The perfect divide and conquer that the IAM created. Nonetheless, I agree with those who realize this contract is dispicable, given the context of huge record profits and the $625 million arbitration case.
Based on current profit trends, the company is likely to produce a $1billion + pre tax income. That translates into $2,000+ for a topped out agent in the form of a check in about 6 months. At any rate,.....
Class 2 stations with high seniority: Will vote yes and not risk sending this back to the table and have PHL sell them out again. They will eat the big profit sharing check because they have been sold out before by their own.
Class 2 stations with low seniority: Much of class 2 stations are like the hubs and have workers that have less than 1 year of seniority. These have voiced a solid No because all they gain is a quarter but lose a profit sharing check totaling around $500 in 6 months. There is no reason for them to vote yes. But they have little ownership in their jobs so apathy may play into them not even voting.
East Hubs:
Pit will be a solid No. no doubt about it. I've talked to several there already and many are actually furious. However, there are more than just 10 people who will vote yes. Probably a 65-35 split.
PHL: Mixed results. PHL is very junior and consists of 650 workers of less than 2 years. There is little to no gain in voting yes for these folks, however, while talking to some from PHL there is little confidence that these folks will actually put in the effort to vote. If I had to say, I'd say PHL is about 55% No, 45% yes. The senior folks will vote no but they are the minority, but most of them will vote unlike the junior people who most likely won't bother. Got to go with history on this one, How Chandlee/Flynn go, phl goes.
CLT: Big No. CLT has always been the most militant, independent station, whereas PHL has usually given over its mind to its local union Bosses. 75%No 25% yes
America West: These folks give up alot more than you folks think. Their increased medical cost will eat at least $1.50per hour of their new raise. Throw in doctor's visits, dental, and the west won't know what hit them. Losing double time, no protection for 90% of their stations after 4 years, $1 hour ops pay, shift trade privileges, holidays, vacations, holiday pay, shift differ. Big loss with only a monetary gain. This contract actually could be a concession to them but the bottom line is the wage and the avoidance of going to arbitration which has a lessor benefit for them as opposed to the east. Westies vote overwhelmingly, like the class 2's for this.
This contract has a more likely chance of passing. I think it will be close but because of distrust between members, the Yes's will most likely win out by a decent sized margin. $19 was the target to secure the vote.
regards,