It may actually be higher than 950. This article in the Chicago Tribune says they are sending furlough letters to 1450 pilots:
Well then. By one article, the 950 number, we tied (950-700 = 250, 1200-950 = 250). By the other, I hit the nail on the head (my estimate was 1200-1500).
Go ahead, spin away.
Well, well, well. We now have something official. And you're not going to like it "oldie." I told you to wait until the official news came out instead of relying on the media, who are notorious for blundering the details.
From UAL's employee communications:
Planned Reduction in Fleet by 100 Aircraft to Result in 950 Pilot Furloughs by Year-End 2009
Posted June 23, 2008
Today we announced initial details concerning the first wave of pilot furloughs resulting from our plans to take 100 aircraft from our mainline fleet due to record high oil prices and a softening U.S. economy. The first notices to furlough approximately 100 pilots for the flying month of September will be issued in mid-July.
By the end of 2009, when we expect to complete the full reduction of our 94 B737 aircraft and six B747s (see June 4 NewsReal),
we anticipate the need to furlough approximately 950 active pilots. This process is one of the difficult but necessary steps we need to take to size our business appropriately to reflect the current market reality.
Due to the number of United pilots on military and personal leave, approximately 1450 furlough notices will be distributed over time in order to reduce our
active pilot ranks by 950.
We currently are discussing with ALPA ways to reduce the number of involuntary furloughs, and we will communicate any agreements that result.
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So it looks like you were wrong. Again. As I predicted, the 1450 number accounts for inactive pilots. 950 is the starting point for active pilots BEFORE furlough mitigation like voluntary leaves, surplus reduction lines, early outs, etc. The number will only get smaller from there, breaking the "tie" you claimed above, and clearly bringing the final numbers closer to MY original estimate of 500-700. (Admittedly higher than I anticipated, but within a reasonable margin of error for an educated guess.) We could easily see over 100 voluntary leaves based on past experience after 9/11.
Your claim above of "hitting the nail on the head" was a bit premature and actually quite comical. You now have an opportunity to show some humility and integrity, or continue the spin. Your choice.