I think everyone is probably reading way too much into this decision, which essentially returns USAPA to status quo two years ago. Every union has a right to renegotiate their seniority list at any time, they don't need a merger or an arbitration to trigger that. However, if they renegotiate a seniority list, they have to show that it is non-discriminatory or they have to show that a larger union purpose will be served by the discrimination. Seniority is zero-sum, if I move up a number then someone else moves down a number. It is tough to show non-discrimination in seniority matters. The idea that date of hire is a legitimate union objective is not going to fly in court.
The central question that seemed to be answered is that the Nicolau list is the reference point in deciding non-discrimination. USAPA is not free to begin a do-over and re-litigate the original seniority dispute. ALPA was free to modify the Nicolau award and attempted to do so at Wye River. It would have been easier to show non-discrimination with a two party process, because the AWA Merger Committee was independent and would have had to ratify the changes. That independent stamp of approval would go a long way to show non-discrimination.
USAPA has a steeper hill to climb. They are also free to modify the Nicolau award, but is has been shown fairly conclusively that USAPA was formed primarily to discriminate against the AWA pilots and is clearly an instrument of the AAA pilots. Any list that is remotely akin to their original DOH proposal to the company will get crushed in court. They don't get to measure "pre-merger expectations" any more. You have to measure "post-merger expectations" and that measure will start with the arbitration award. The idea that USAPA can get away with a wholesale restructuring of the list is pretty far fetched.
The final question mark is what will the company's reaction be. I can't imagine the company agreeing to significantly modify the arbitration award, because that will put them on the hook for potential damages that could run into hundreds of millions. They were a party to the transition agreement that established the seniority list and they can't just walk away from that without liability. I can't imagine the NMB would react favorably to a seniority proposal that puts such a huge burden on the company and is essentially a neutral for the pilots (someone gains, someone loses).
QUOTE ABOVE RESPONSE BELOW
Ah...our old friend OJ...the guy who I believe told us that the NW guy just Junior to him had about 3-4 years longer at NW than he did at DAL....and that he "just didn't pay that much attention to it......HA!!..I GUESS NOT. So, you read the opinion and came up with the NIC as the reference point. You sir, are a joke. When you consider that 60% of this airline is DOH, what makes you so sure DOH won'y fly. Remember dude the disparity at your great airline is at most 4-5 years. Here....15-20. The company no longer has to recognize NIC. Have you even read the opinion...doesn't sound like it. Every court has dismisses the Corporation from all litigation....they are on the hook for NOTHING. Can't wait for trial day when we explain that a 17 year guy was placed junior to a probationary 2 month newbie....THAT MY FRIEND IS THE STARTING POINT....NOT NIC. Go back to lurking. You have no dog in this fight...that is unless we buy you next!!
NPJB