Have you done the math? Are you sure that an east fo on LOA 93 is better off than on a new contract? The longest delay your own guy could come up with was 2 years and that was near the bottom of the list.
If making $85 and waiting to make $125 is better than $100 waiting a max of 2 years to make $170-180. Show me the math.
The 2 year number was quoted by a west guy. If your question is about the large group of guys that were hired from 88 to 2000. It is a whole lot longer than 2 years.
If NIC is implemented, there is a whole pack of senior f/o's that are in their mid 50's that will never see the left seat, under LOA 93 they will at least get a few years. Under NIC the average guy that was hired from 88 to 2000 will have hundreds of guys younger than them senior to them.
For the 88 to 2000 guys that were furloughed when the merger took place, they are all below the most junior west guy.
retires west east
2012 2 8
2013 40 144
2014 42 201
2015 48 179
2016 42 227
2017 58 237
2018 50 258
2019 74 255
2020 66 240
9 year total 422 west 1749 east
So Under LOA 93 seperate ops by 2020 at least 1200 Capt. seats open up to f/o's even assuming that 500 of the 1749 retires are f/o's that only leaves 651 east pilots that are here now as f/o's. Less than the number that is stapled to the bottom of NIC that were furloughed. Add in medicals and early out guys and the number is less.
Under NIC take away the 422 west retires, assume they are all captains (as the west likes to point out) and that leaves 1378 west pilots, of which most of those 1200 east capt seats would go to per NIC.
1000 hours a year , so $15 hour f/o difference under nic is $15000 year pre tax.
LOA 93 Capt seat means $40000 year difference for them.
That means that under NIC an east F/o would have to work 2.6 years to make what they would as a LOA 93 capt.
Under LOA 93 every east pilot is a Captain in less than 12 years current fleet, new hires included.
Under NIC at 12 years the east would still have 88 to 2000 hires stuck in right seat.
east only has 3600 now including newbies, figure half is left seat and thats 1800, roughly the same amount east guys gone in 9 years.
NOW the telling part, west only has 422 retirements and roughly 900 capt seats. Unless they can shove NIC down the easts neck they will still have 478 current f/o's still in the right seat. Current fleet.
That is why you see the east guys not complaining much about LOA 93, and the west guys screaming that it is NIC or nothing.